Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#46
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#36
Pace65.4#275
Improvement-6.3#339

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#69
First Shot+3.0#92
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#97
Layup/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+1.5#75
Improvement-2.9#299

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#30
First Shot+6.2#28
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#133
Layups/Dunks+2.4#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#42
Freethrows+1.1#99
Improvement-3.4#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 51.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.9% n/a n/a
First Round46.5% n/a n/a
Second Round18.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 7.01.0 - 7.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 3.04.0 - 10.0
Quad 25.0 - 3.09.0 - 13.0
Quad 35.0 - 1.014.0 - 14.0
Quad 45.0 - 0.019.0 - 14.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 32   @ Cincinnati W 64-56 35%     1 - 0 +22.7 +6.7 +16.9
  Nov 11, 2018 182   Purdue Fort Wayne W 107-61 91%     2 - 0 +41.9 +22.5 +16.2
  Nov 15, 2018 49   @ Creighton W 69-60 41%     3 - 0 +21.9 +10.9 +12.2
  Nov 18, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 89-61 99%     4 - 0 +10.9 +1.3 +8.4
  Nov 20, 2018 159   Samford W 68-50 89%     5 - 0 +15.4 -5.4 +21.2
  Nov 23, 2018 289   Cleveland St. W 89-62 96%     6 - 0 +17.0 +2.7 +12.2
  Nov 28, 2018 33   Syracuse L 62-72 56%     6 - 1 -1.0 +2.6 -4.8
  Dec 02, 2018 45   Minnesota W 79-59 61%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +27.9 +13.7 +14.9
  Dec 05, 2018 75   @ Illinois W 77-67 54%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +19.5 +3.4 +15.4
  Dec 15, 2018 146   Bucknell W 73-71 86%     9 - 1 +0.7 +1.9 -1.1
  Dec 18, 2018 266   Youngstown St. W 75-56 95%     10 - 1 +10.1 +1.1 +10.5
  Dec 22, 2018 108   UCLA W 80-66 72%     11 - 1 +18.5 +5.1 +12.9
  Dec 29, 2018 236   High Point W 82-64 94%     12 - 1 +10.9 +7.9 +3.1
  Jan 05, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 77-86 22%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +9.7 +12.9 -3.3
  Jan 09, 2019 74   @ Rutgers L 61-64 54%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +6.6 +2.8 +3.4
  Jan 12, 2019 36   @ Iowa L 62-72 37%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +4.1 -9.6 +14.0
  Jan 18, 2019 23   Maryland L 61-75 47%     12 - 5 2 - 4 -2.8 -1.4 -2.4
  Jan 23, 2019 10   Purdue L 67-79 34%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +2.9 +1.7 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2019 38   @ Nebraska W 70-60 38%     13 - 6 3 - 5 +23.9 +7.2 +17.2
  Jan 29, 2019 6   @ Michigan L 49-65 13%     13 - 7 3 - 6 +6.7 -4.0 +8.5
  Feb 02, 2019 74   Rutgers W 76-62 74%     14 - 7 4 - 6 +18.0 +20.8 -0.3
  Feb 07, 2019 42   Penn St. W 74-70 60%     15 - 7 5 - 6 +12.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 10, 2019 39   @ Indiana W 55-52 38%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +16.9 +0.5 +17.0
  Feb 14, 2019 75   Illinois L 56-63 74%     16 - 8 6 - 7 -3.1 -12.7 +9.3
  Feb 17, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. L 44-62 11%     16 - 9 6 - 8 +6.2 -13.6 +18.0
  Feb 20, 2019 71   Northwestern W 63-49 73%     17 - 9 7 - 8 +18.3 +6.1 +14.3
  Feb 23, 2019 23   @ Maryland L 62-72 28%     17 - 10 7 - 9 +6.8 +4.0 +1.8
  Feb 26, 2019 36   Iowa W 90-70 58%     18 - 10 8 - 9 +28.5 +18.5 +10.2
  Mar 02, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 51-86 18%     18 - 11 8 - 10 -14.5 -8.3 -10.3
  Mar 06, 2019 71   @ Northwestern L 50-68 53%     18 - 12 8 - 11 -8.2 -7.8 -2.5
  Mar 10, 2019 14   Wisconsin L 67-73 OT 40%     18 - 13 8 - 12 +7.2 +1.8 +5.6
  Mar 14, 2019 39   Indiana W 79-75 48%     19 - 13 +15.1 +6.4 +8.4
  Mar 15, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 70-77 16%     19 - 14 +14.4 +10.9 +3.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 51.9% 51.9% 10.2 0.1 2.6 7.6 18.3 20.9 2.3 48.1 51.9%
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 51.9% 0.0% 51.9% 10.2 0.1 2.6 7.6 18.3 20.9 2.3 48.1 51.9%