Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#218
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#205
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 18.5% 10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 67.5% 85.8% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.8% 85.2% 72.1%
Conference Champion 15.6% 24.3% 13.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 1.2% 3.6%
First Four4.0% 4.6% 3.9%
First Round10.4% 16.7% 8.7%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.10.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.2 - 2.1
Quad 20.4 - 2.00.6 - 4.1
Quad 32.0 - 3.72.5 - 7.8
Quad 412.8 - 4.915.3 - 12.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 127   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-76 20%    
  Nov 09, 2018 20   @ Virginia Tech L 66-83 3%    
  Nov 13, 2018 123   @ Furman L 68-74 19%    
  Nov 16, 2018 353   @ Savannah St. W 91-76 85%    
  Nov 23, 2018 298   Eastern Illinois W 68-64 64%    
  Nov 24, 2018 197   UNC Wilmington L 76-77 45%    
  Nov 25, 2018 286   Arkansas St. W 75-71 63%    
  Nov 28, 2018 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 80-72 68%    
  Dec 01, 2018 353   Savannah St. W 91-76 93%    
  Dec 13, 2018 338   Kennesaw St. W 74-65 86%    
  Dec 17, 2018 113   @ Georgia Tech L 63-70 21%    
  Dec 29, 2018 115   @ Wake Forest L 69-76 20%    
  Jan 05, 2019 254   @ Campbell W 73-71 47%    
  Jan 12, 2019 334   South Carolina Upstate W 80-72 83%    
  Jan 17, 2019 149   @ Radford L 63-67 27%    
  Jan 19, 2019 240   Hampton W 75-74 63%    
  Jan 24, 2019 194   @ Winthrop L 74-75 36%    
  Jan 26, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern W 69-68 43%    
  Jan 30, 2019 255   High Point W 69-67 67%    
  Feb 02, 2019 294   UNC Asheville W 72-68 72%    
  Feb 07, 2019 333   @ Longwood W 75-67 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 319   @ Presbyterian W 70-64 61%    
  Feb 13, 2019 232   Charleston Southern W 69-68 63%    
  Feb 16, 2019 194   Winthrop L 74-75 56%    
  Feb 21, 2019 294   @ UNC Asheville W 72-68 54%    
  Feb 23, 2019 255   @ High Point W 69-67 47%    
  Feb 27, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 70-64 77%    
  Mar 02, 2019 333   Longwood W 75-67 83%    
Projected Record 15.3 - 12.7 9.4 - 6.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 4.4 4.4 2.0 0.7 15.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 4.8 5.5 3.0 0.6 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.3 1.7 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.1 1.2 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.5 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.5 3.4 4.4 1.2 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.4 1.1 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.1 0.1 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.2 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.1 3.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.9 8.9 11.3 12.7 12.9 12.0 10.5 7.5 5.0 2.1 0.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
15-1 99.2% 2.0    1.9 0.1
14-2 88.3% 4.4    3.3 1.1 0.0
13-3 58.3% 4.4    2.3 1.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 30.3% 3.2    1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 9.5 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 68.4% 64.6% 3.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 10.6%
15-1 2.1% 45.7% 45.7% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.0%
14-2 5.0% 41.9% 41.7% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 2.9 0.4%
13-3 7.5% 32.6% 32.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 5.0
12-4 10.5% 19.4% 19.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 8.4
11-5 12.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 10.4
10-6 12.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.1 11.8
9-7 12.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.1
8-8 11.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.9
7-9 8.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.8
6-10 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
5-11 4.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-12 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-13 1.4% 1.4
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 6.0 87.9 0.0%