IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.5	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.5	#345
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#277

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#330

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	3.4%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.2	15.6

.500 or above	17.5%	43.0%	15.9%
.500 or above in Conference	29.8%	47.7%	28.6%
Conference Champion	1.8%	5.2%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	19.8%	11.9%	20.3%

First Four	0.7%	1.4%	0.7%
First Round	0.9%	2.7%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.2	0.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.4	0.0 - 2.6
Quad 2	0.1 - 2.4	0.1 - 5.0
Quad 3	0.9 - 4.7	1.0 - 9.7
Quad 4	8.7 - 8.6	9.7 - 18.3

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	112	@ College of Charleston	L	58-71	6%
Nov 10, 2018	287	@ Tennessee Tech	L	66-69	29%
Nov 17, 2018	24	@ Marquette	L	62-84	1%
Nov 19, 2018	50	@ UCLA	L	63-82	2%
Nov 28, 2018	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	68-69	59%
Dec 01, 2018	347	@ N.C. A&T	W	71-66	59%
Dec 04, 2018	289	Jacksonville	L	67-70	51%
Dec 12, 2018	310	VMI	L	67-68	58%
Dec 18, 2018	33	@ Butler	L	58-79	2%
Dec 22, 2018	107	@ Dayton	L	61-74	8%
Dec 30, 2018	289	@ Jacksonville	L	67-70	32%
Jan 02, 2019	348	@ South Carolina St.	W	73-67	60%
Jan 05, 2019	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	74-72	67%
Jan 10, 2019	255	@ High Point	L	63-67	28%
Jan 12, 2019	149	@ Radford	L	58-69	13%
Jan 16, 2019	240	Hampton	L	69-74	43%
Jan 19, 2019	333	Longwood	W	69-67	66%
Jan 21, 2019	334	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	74-72	47%
Jan 24, 2019	254	@ Campbell	L	67-71	27%
Jan 26, 2019	194	Winthrop	L	68-76	34%
Jan 30, 2019	232	@ Charleston Southern	L	64-69	24%
Feb 07, 2019	294	UNC Asheville	L	67-69	52%
Feb 09, 2019	218	Gardner-Webb	L	64-70	39%
Feb 13, 2019	194	@ Winthrop	L	68-76	20%
Feb 16, 2019	254	Campbell	L	67-71	46%
Feb 23, 2019	294	@ UNC Asheville	L	67-69	33%
Feb 27, 2019	218	@ Gardner-Webb	L	64-70	23%
Mar 02, 2019	232	Charleston Southern	L	64-69	42%
Projected Record						9.7 - 18.3	6.0 - 10.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd										0.1	0.7	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1				3.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	1.1	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0					5.0	3rd
4th								0.1	1.0	3.3	1.6	0.3	0.0						6.3	4th
5th								0.9	3.6	2.8	0.3	0.0							7.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.9	4.3	4.1	0.7	0.0								10.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.7	4.2	5.3	1.2	0.1									11.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.7	4.5	5.8	1.8	0.1										12.9	8th
9th			0.0	1.1	5.2	6.0	1.9	0.1											14.4	9th
10th		0.3	1.7	5.3	4.8	2.1	0.2												14.3	10th
11th	1.0	2.6	4.3	3.4	0.9	0.2	0.0												12.4	11th

Total	1.0	2.9	6.0	9.9	11.7	13.4	12.9	12.5	10.0	8.1	5.1	3.4	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	70.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-3	59.8%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
12-4	30.0%	0.5		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	8.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		63.5%	63.5%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.1%		32.0%	32.0%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
14-2	0.4%		19.0%	19.0%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-3	1.0%		18.5%	18.5%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.8
12-4	1.8%		5.7%	5.7%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.7
11-5	3.4%		6.1%	6.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	3.2
10-6	5.1%		3.8%	3.8%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.9
9-7	8.1%		2.4%	2.4%		15.8																0.0	0.2	7.9
8-8	10.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
7-9	12.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	12.4
6-10	12.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
5-11	13.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.3
4-12	11.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
3-13	9.9%																							9.9
2-14	6.0%																							6.0
1-15	2.9%																							2.9
0-16	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%