Preseason Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#187
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.7#213
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#178
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.5% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 17.0 13.3 13.9
.500 or above 47.3% 53.8% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 67.4% 70.6% 57.0%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.5% 8.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round3.6% 4.1% 2.1%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 76.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.50.1 - 1.5
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.70.3 - 3.2
Quad 20.9 - 3.61.2 - 6.8
Quad 33.3 - 4.94.5 - 11.7
Quad 49.8 - 3.014.3 - 14.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 272   Mercer W 70-65 76%    
  Nov 14, 2018 292   New Orleans W 71-65 79%    
  Nov 22, 2018 15   Florida St. L 69-84 8%    
  Nov 23, 2018 112   College of Charleston L 65-70 33%    
  Nov 25, 2018 162   Canisius L 72-73 45%    
  Nov 29, 2018 349   @ Alabama A&M W 75-60 85%    
  Dec 04, 2018 340   North Alabama W 74-62 91%    
  Dec 08, 2018 101   @ Memphis L 68-73 24%    
  Dec 15, 2018 13   Auburn L 69-85 8%    
  Dec 18, 2018 346   Alcorn St. W 76-62 92%    
  Dec 21, 2018 192   Troy W 72-71 61%    
  Jan 03, 2019 266   Florida Atlantic W 73-68 75%    
  Jan 05, 2019 226   Florida International W 72-69 68%    
  Jan 10, 2019 141   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-72 31%    
  Jan 12, 2019 163   @ Southern Miss L 69-70 36%    
  Jan 17, 2019 249   UTEP W 71-67 72%    
  Jan 19, 2019 158   Texas San Antonio L 74-76 54%    
  Jan 24, 2019 132   @ North Texas L 68-72 28%    
  Jan 26, 2019 323   @ Rice W 74-65 70%    
  Jan 30, 2019 157   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-69 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 157   Middle Tennessee L 67-69 54%    
  Feb 07, 2019 102   Old Dominion L 63-68 42%    
  Feb 09, 2019 301   Charlotte W 78-71 79%    
  Feb 14, 2019 99   @ Marshall L 76-82 24%    
  Feb 16, 2019 60   @ Western Kentucky L 69-79 14%    
  Feb 23, 2019 163   @ Southern Miss L 69-70 37%    
  Feb 28, 2019 60   Western Kentucky L 69-79 29%    
  Mar 03, 2019 158   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-76 36%    
  Mar 09, 2019 102   Old Dominion L 63-68 42%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 14.7 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.5 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.7 0.5 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 2.4 0.6 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.4 0.8 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.6 2.8 4.1 1.3 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.5 2.0 0.2 9.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 4.7 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 4.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.9 3.9 1.0 0.1 9.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.7 1.2 0.1 9.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 14th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.8 3.3 5.7 8.4 10.6 11.6 12.3 11.2 10.3 8.9 6.2 4.1 2.9 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 30.1% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-1 8.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-2 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.0%
10-4 0.0%
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.9% 18.1% 13.2% 4.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4 5.7%
13-1 4.1% 10.8% 9.8% 1.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7 1.2%
12-2 6.2% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6 0.0%
11-3 8.9% 5.4% 5.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.4
10-4 10.3% 4.4% 4.4% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.8
9-5 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9
8-6 12.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.2
7-7 11.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.5
6-8 10.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
5-9 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-10 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-11 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-12 1.8% 1.8
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.1% 2.9% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.5 96.9 0.2%