Lamar
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#229
Achievement Rating-6.0#246
Pace69.9#183
Improvement-0.1#178

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#241
First Shot-4.6#297
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#55
Layup/Dunks-2.0#239
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#321
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-1.7#316

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#230
First Shot-0.1#175
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#289
Layups/Dunks-5.5#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#124
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement+1.7#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.7% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 55.2% 71.5% 46.7%
.500 or above in Conference 77.9% 83.9% 74.7%
Conference Champion 11.5% 14.9% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.6% 1.1%
First Four2.9% 2.6% 3.0%
First Round8.0% 10.5% 6.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 78   @ Georgia Tech L 69-88 11%     0 - 1 -9.6 +0.6 -9.0
  Nov 11, 2018 257   @ East Carolina L 78-84 44%     0 - 2 -8.5 -3.6 -4.1
  Nov 17, 2018 271   Prairie View W 74-67 68%     1 - 2 -2.1 -1.6 -0.4
  Nov 23, 2018 224   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-77 36%     1 - 3 -2.6 +1.1 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2018 115   @ SMU L 65-79 15%     1 - 4 -6.8 -6.8 -0.2
  Dec 01, 2018 315   @ Rice W 75-68 58%     2 - 4 +0.8 -4.1 +4.6
  Dec 04, 2018 33   @ Houston L 56-79 5%     2 - 5 -8.0 -5.6 -3.4
  Dec 13, 2018 211   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-69 34%    
  Dec 19, 2018 221   Texas Southern W 79-77 59%    
  Jan 02, 2019 283   @ Houston Baptist L 80-81 49%    
  Jan 05, 2019 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 09, 2019 262   New Orleans W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 12, 2019 278   @ Central Arkansas L 77-78 48%    
  Jan 16, 2019 287   @ SE Louisiana L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 23, 2019 336   Incarnate Word W 77-66 85%    
  Jan 26, 2019 292   @ Sam Houston St. W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 250   @ Nicholls St. L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 02, 2019 311   @ McNeese St. W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 06, 2019 166   Abilene Christian L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 09, 2019 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 13, 2019 346   Northwestern St. W 77-62 91%    
  Feb 16, 2019 292   Sam Houston St. W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 20, 2019 336   @ Incarnate Word W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 23, 2019 298   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 27, 2019 283   Houston Baptist W 84-78 69%    
  Mar 02, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 09, 2019 311   McNeese St. W 77-69 75%    
Projected Record 13.6 - 13.4 10.6 - 7.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.1 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.9 3.4 0.7 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.1 1.0 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.9 6.0 8.8 11.6 13.2 14.0 13.0 10.7 7.8 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.3% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 92.9% 2.1    1.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 74.6% 3.4    2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.3% 3.3    1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.5% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 6.4 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 46.7% 46.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 42.4% 42.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.2% 36.5% 36.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.4
15-3 4.5% 31.6% 31.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 3.1
14-4 7.8% 25.3% 25.3% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.0 5.8
13-5 10.7% 17.5% 17.5% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.4 8.8
12-6 13.0% 10.5% 10.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 11.6
11-7 14.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 13.2
10-8 13.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.8
9-9 11.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 11.4
8-10 8.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.7
7-11 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
6-12 3.9% 3.9
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.5 90.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%