Lamar
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#245
Achievement Rating-4.7#231
Pace70.2#145
Improvement+2.1#86

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#235
First Shot-3.8#287
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks-1.1#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#343
Freethrows+2.2#45
Improvement+1.9#87

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#250
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#129
Layups/Dunks-2.8#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows-1.2#252
Improvement+0.2#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.0% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 55.4% 67.3% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 94.7% 98.6% 85.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% 2.0% 2.2%
First Round4.3% 5.1% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech L 69-88 13%     0 - 1 -11.9 +0.7 -11.4
  Nov 11, 2018 267   @ East Carolina L 78-84 43%     0 - 2 -9.2 -4.5 -3.9
  Nov 17, 2018 265   Prairie View W 74-67 64%     1 - 2 -1.7 -1.6 +0.1
  Nov 23, 2018 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-77 28%     1 - 3 -0.8 +3.8 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2018 104   @ SMU L 65-79 13%     1 - 4 -6.6 -7.9 +1.3
  Dec 01, 2018 254   @ Rice W 75-68 42%     2 - 4 +4.3 -3.2 +7.2
  Dec 04, 2018 20   @ Houston L 56-79 3%     2 - 5 -5.3 -4.1 -2.2
  Dec 13, 2018 200   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-86 30%     2 - 6 -20.6 -11.2 -8.5
  Dec 19, 2018 228   Texas Southern W 80-72 58%     3 - 6 +1.1 -5.6 +6.0
  Jan 02, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist L 82-88 48%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -10.4 -10.4 +1.1
  Jan 05, 2019 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 61-55 67%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -3.5 -13.9 +10.4
  Jan 09, 2019 269   New Orleans L 71-78 65%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -16.0 -11.5 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2019 302   @ Central Arkansas L 68-75 51%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -12.3 -3.6 -9.2
  Jan 16, 2019 242   @ SE Louisiana L 69-76 39%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -9.0 +0.9 -10.2
  Jan 23, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 87-81 85%     5 - 10 2 - 4 -10.3 -1.7 -8.9
  Jan 26, 2019 173   @ Sam Houston St. L 59-69 25%     5 - 11 2 - 5 -7.7 -6.2 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2019 322   @ Nicholls St. W 90-69 61%     6 - 11 3 - 5 +13.3 +17.3 -3.1
  Feb 02, 2019 324   @ McNeese St. W 84-75 61%     7 - 11 4 - 5 +1.1 +4.2 -3.1
  Feb 06, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 64-75 43%     7 - 12 4 - 6 -14.1 -9.4 -4.6
  Feb 09, 2019 274   @ Stephen F. Austin W 82-67 45%     8 - 12 5 - 6 +11.3 +20.2 -6.9
  Feb 13, 2019 331   Northwestern St. W 75-70 81%     9 - 12 6 - 6 -9.3 -7.3 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2019 173   Sam Houston St. W 75-72 44%     10 - 12 7 - 6 -0.3 -1.8 +1.4
  Feb 20, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 23, 2019 282   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 27, 2019 288   Houston Baptist W 81-76 69%    
  Mar 02, 2019 274   Stephen F. Austin W 74-70 66%    
  Mar 09, 2019 324   McNeese St. W 78-70 79%    
Projected Record 13.3 - 13.7 10.3 - 7.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.6 7.8 12.5 3rd
4th 0.4 9.6 21.1 4.9 35.9 4th
5th 0.1 5.9 19.7 6.5 0.1 32.3 5th
6th 0.9 8.1 2.9 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 2.3 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 0.1 1.7 8th
9th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.5 4.8 16.8 32.3 32.2 13.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 13.3% 10.5% 10.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 11.9
11-7 32.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.8 0.3 1.8 30.1
10-8 32.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.1 1.2 31.1
9-9 16.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 16.3
8-10 4.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.7
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.0 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 15.3 0.1 2.7 60.2 37.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.1%
Lose Out 0.5%