Rice
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#317
Achievement Rating-14.4#325
Pace75.2#73
Improvement-1.0#254

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#255
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#191
Layup/Dunks-2.8#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#125
Freethrows-1.9#272
Improvement+1.0#96

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#337
First Shot-9.5#351
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#21
Layups/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows-3.0#319
Improvement-2.0#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.4% 5.3% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 49.4% 41.9% 51.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 94   @ Penn L 76-92 5%     0 - 1 -7.4 -2.2 -3.2
  Nov 12, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 73-59 85%     1 - 1 -6.6 -5.2 -1.1
  Nov 14, 2018 31   @ Houston L 68-79 2%     1 - 2 +4.0 +10.6 -7.6
  Nov 17, 2018 346   Northwestern St. W 102-74 81%     2 - 2 +8.9 +6.9 -2.3
  Nov 21, 2018 72   @ BYU L 78-105 4%     2 - 3 -17.0 +0.8 -15.2
  Nov 25, 2018 117   @ Wichita St. L 61-90 7%     2 - 4 -22.1 -12.1 -7.4
  Nov 28, 2018 138   @ Texas St. L 60-74 9%     2 - 5 -8.9 -4.0 -5.9
  Dec 01, 2018 252   Lamar L 68-75 45%     2 - 6 -15.3 -11.5 -3.6
  Dec 15, 2018 149   UC Santa Barbara L 89-99 23%     2 - 7 -12.1 +9.9 -21.4
  Dec 18, 2018 229   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-81 21%    
  Dec 21, 2018 225   Nebraska Omaha L 79-82 39%    
  Dec 29, 2018 125   North Texas L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 03, 2019 146   Southern Miss L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 05, 2019 121   Louisiana Tech L 73-83 17%    
  Jan 10, 2019 182   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-85 15%    
  Jan 12, 2019 217   @ UTEP L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 19, 2019 125   @ North Texas L 67-83 8%    
  Jan 24, 2019 250   Middle Tennessee L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 26, 2019 193   UAB L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 31, 2019 311   @ Charlotte L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 93   @ Old Dominion L 60-78 5%    
  Feb 07, 2019 90   Western Kentucky L 71-84 13%    
  Feb 09, 2019 126   Marshall L 79-89 19%    
  Feb 14, 2019 212   @ Florida International L 86-96 19%    
  Feb 16, 2019 219   @ Florida Atlantic L 71-80 20%    
Projected Record 5.5 - 19.5 2.9 - 11.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 1.8 0.1 4.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 3.9 0.5 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.7 6.2 2.6 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 1.9 8.2 5.4 0.5 16.1 12th
13th 2.9 10.9 9.2 1.5 0.0 24.6 13th
14th 6.5 14.3 9.2 2.1 0.1 32.1 14th
Total 6.5 17.3 22.0 21.2 15.2 9.8 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
9-5 4.0% 0.0    0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.1% 0.1
10-4 0.1% 0.1
9-5 0.3% 0.3
8-6 0.8% 0.8
7-7 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-8 4.7% 4.7
5-9 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-10 15.2% 15.2
3-11 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.2
2-12 22.0% 22.0
1-13 17.3% 17.3
0-14 6.5% 6.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.0%