Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
205 Sacred Heart 19.2%   16   11 - 9 5 - 3 17 - 13 11 - 7 -2.8      -0.2 182 -2.5 244 73.8 68 -3.7 225 -5.3 5
213 St. Francis (PA) 17.3%   11 - 8 5 - 4 17 - 11 11 - 7 -3.1      +1.6 129 -4.8 312 70.1 148 -2.0 196 -6.1 7
222 Robert Morris 15.4%   9 - 11 6 - 2 15 - 15 12 - 6 -3.7      -2.8 255 -0.9 193 66.1 259 -4.2 232 -1.1 2
240 LIU Brooklyn 12.8%   9 - 11 5 - 3 15 - 15 11 - 7 -4.6      -1.9 228 -2.7 250 77.6 25 -5.6 256 -4.3 4
241 Bryant 9.6%   9 - 10 2 - 5 15 - 15 8 - 10 -4.6      -2.0 236 -2.6 246 73.4 73 -5.1 246 -13.1 10
254 Merrimack 10.9%   12 - 8 7 - 1 18 - 12 13 - 5 -5.3      -5.4 314 +0.1 157 60.6 344 -0.3 175 +5.6 1
271 Mount St. Mary's 7.6%   8 - 11 5 - 2 13 - 17 10 - 8 -6.0      -4.3 294 -1.7 222 60.8 341 -7.5 289 -3.0 3
295 St. Francis Brooklyn 4.5%   9 - 10 4 - 4 14 - 15 9 - 9 -7.6      -4.2 292 -3.4 272 71.4 117 -5.7 262 -5.5 6
312 Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0%   3 - 15 2 - 6 8 - 20 7 - 11 -8.9      -1.6 220 -7.3 340 67.2 242 -12.0 330 -11.9 8
333 Wagner 0.7%   4 - 14 2 - 6 8 - 20 6 - 12 -11.1      -4.3 295 -6.8 337 69.3 181 -10.7 320 -12.4 9
350 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   1 - 20 1 - 8 2 - 28 2 - 16 -18.7      -9.4 347 -9.3 346 71.5 116 -21.7 349 -17.6 11






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Sacred Heart 3.5 18.5 17.9 18.0 14.9 12.3 8.7 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 4.0 9.3 15.3 18.1 18.8 15.6 11.5 7.1 3.4 0.9 0.0
Robert Morris 2.5 34.6 25.9 15.9 10.4 6.5 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.2
LIU Brooklyn 3.7 15.3 16.6 17.7 16.6 14.4 10.0 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.1
Bryant 6.6 0.9 2.5 4.2 7.8 11.5 16.4 19.2 19.2 13.8 4.3 0.2
Merrimack 2.1 49.8 22.5 12.7 7.8 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Mount St. Mary's 4.7 9.0 10.5 12.7 14.0 15.1 15.1 11.8 7.7 3.1 0.8
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.4 1.2 3.2 5.6 8.0 12.4 16.9 19.8 20.0 10.4 2.4 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.4 7.2 11.5 20.6 30.6 22.7 1.0
Wagner 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.1 6.7 14.0 26.1 46.3 2.0
Central Connecticut St. 10.9 0.1 1.0 7.9 91.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Sacred Heart 11 - 7 0.0 0.4 1.6 5.0 11.3 18.2 22.4 20.7 13.3 6.0 1.1
St. Francis (PA) 11 - 7 0.3 2.3 6.3 13.9 22.7 25.9 18.3 8.4 1.9
Robert Morris 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.6 10.7 18.9 23.1 22.3 12.9 5.3 0.9
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 7 0.1 0.3 2.1 5.3 12.1 20.5 23.3 19.9 11.3 4.4 0.7
Bryant 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 9.2 16.5 21.8 21.6 15.8 7.7 2.6 0.4
Merrimack 13 - 5 0.0 0.5 2.3 6.6 15.2 22.0 22.8 17.6 9.4 2.9 0.6
Mount St. Mary's 10 - 8 0.4 1.6 6.1 11.9 19.2 20.4 18.7 12.2 6.4 2.7 0.4 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 9 - 9 0.3 2.0 7.5 15.8 21.6 22.8 16.9 8.9 3.5 0.7 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 7 - 11 0.4 2.4 7.1 14.7 20.8 22.3 16.8 10.2 4.1 1.2 0.1
Wagner 6 - 12 0.6 6.1 14.2 23.4 24.0 16.9 9.9 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2 - 16 30.7 37.1 21.4 8.3 2.2 0.4 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Sacred Heart 18.5% 8.2 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 9.3% 3.2 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Robert Morris 34.6% 17.8 11.5 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 15.3% 6.3 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0
Bryant 0.9% 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 49.8% 30.6 13.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 9.0% 3.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
St. Francis Brooklyn 1.2% 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Wagner
Central Connecticut St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Sacred Heart 19.2% 19.2% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.5 4.3 14.3 80.8 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.4 9.6 82.7 0.0%
Robert Morris 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.2 1.6 13.6 84.6 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.5 11.2 87.2 0.0%
Bryant 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 8.4 90.4 0.0%
Merrimack 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 3.2 7.3 89.1 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.3 7.4 92.4 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.1 4.4 95.5 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Sacred Heart 19.2% 7.7% 16.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 17.3% 3.6% 15.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 15.4% 9.6% 11.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 12.8% 7.7% 9.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 9.6% 5.7% 7.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 10.9% 3.5% 9.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 7.6% 6.2% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.5% 3.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 76.4% 0.8 23.6 76.4
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0