Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
219 St. Francis (PA) 19.5%   16   1 - 2 0 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 6 -3.2      +0.8 147 -4.0 294 69.3 189 -1.7 210 0.0 1
247 LIU Brooklyn 14.4%   0 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 15 11 - 7 -4.5      -1.8 229 -2.7 256 76.0 56 -16.0 341 0.0 1
248 Fairleigh Dickinson 14.4%   0 - 2 0 - 0 14 - 14 11 - 7 -4.7      -2.5 255 -2.2 232 67.2 254 -10.8 303 0.0 1
255 Bryant 13.1%   2 - 2 0 - 0 16 - 14 11 - 7 -4.9      -2.1 243 -2.8 260 76.5 51 -3.9 231 0.0 1
282 Robert Morris 8.6%   1 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 17 10 - 8 -6.5      -4.3 295 -2.2 233 64.4 305 -8.9 281 0.0 1
285 Mount St. Mary's 8.0%   0 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -6.7      -4.5 301 -2.2 234 67.9 235 -9.9 294 0.0 1
287 Sacred Heart 7.7%   0 - 2 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -7.0      -1.4 221 -5.6 322 77.7 37 -2.5 215 0.0 1
297 Merrimack 5.9%   1 - 2 0 - 0 12 - 18 9 - 9 -7.8      -4.5 303 -3.3 278 70.0 176 -4.7 244 0.0 1
298 St. Francis Brooklyn 6.0%   1 - 2 0 - 0 13 - 16 8 - 10 -7.9      -4.3 296 -3.6 287 70.4 163 -6.7 262 0.0 1
334 Wagner 2.1%   0 - 2 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 12 -11.5      -7.6 339 -3.8 291 79.0 27 +3.0 134 0.0 1
348 Central Connecticut St. 0.3%   0 - 3 0 - 0 5 - 24 4 - 14 -15.8      -8.9 344 -6.8 337 76.8 46 -17.9 345 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. Francis (PA) 3.5 27.5 18.3 13.7 11.1 8.8 6.9 5.2 3.9 2.6 1.5 0.5
LIU Brooklyn 4.1 19.5 15.7 13.5 11.9 10.1 8.7 7.2 5.7 4.2 2.6 1.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.2 19.8 15.5 13.1 11.1 10.0 8.4 7.3 6.0 4.5 3.0 1.2
Bryant 4.3 17.2 14.9 13.8 12.1 10.6 9.4 7.7 6.0 4.6 2.8 1.1
Robert Morris 5.1 10.3 11.4 11.8 11.8 11.5 10.9 9.7 8.8 6.8 5.0 2.1
Mount St. Mary's 5.6 8.6 9.3 9.9 10.6 10.6 10.9 10.9 10.3 9.2 7.0 2.7
Sacred Heart 5.6 8.9 9.2 9.9 10.0 10.4 10.7 10.8 10.2 9.3 7.1 3.3
Merrimack 6.0 6.1 7.8 8.7 9.9 10.6 11.0 11.7 11.4 10.9 8.0 3.8
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.2 6.4 7.3 8.4 9.1 10.0 10.6 11.1 11.4 11.2 9.8 4.7
Wagner 7.9 1.6 2.6 3.6 5.0 6.1 7.7 9.7 12.7 16.0 20.1 15.1
Central Connecticut St. 9.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.8 4.3 7.0 12.2 22.4 47.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Francis (PA) 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.5 4.1 6.1 8.4 10.7 12.5 13.1 12.9 11.0 8.4 5.3 2.4 0.6
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.9 5.9 8.1 10.4 12.0 12.6 12.5 10.7 8.7 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.1 6.2 8.4 10.0 11.5 12.2 12.0 10.7 8.3 5.9 3.6 1.6 0.4
Bryant 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.2 6.2 8.8 10.9 12.4 13.0 12.4 10.1 8.0 5.0 2.8 1.1 0.2
Robert Morris 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.3 6.4 9.1 10.8 12.5 12.7 12.0 10.2 7.8 5.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
Mount St. Mary's 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.6 5.8 8.2 10.3 11.9 12.2 11.8 10.6 8.5 6.1 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 3.9 6.1 8.1 10.3 11.5 12.2 11.4 10.3 8.5 6.2 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
Merrimack 9 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.5 7.0 9.3 11.6 12.6 12.2 11.5 9.6 7.1 5.0 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 8 - 10 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 5.2 7.4 9.8 11.3 12.1 11.7 10.7 9.1 6.9 4.9 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
Wagner 6 - 12 0.7 2.7 5.6 8.6 11.0 12.9 12.8 11.9 10.2 8.2 6.2 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 4 - 14 4.7 10.9 15.3 16.7 15.4 12.5 9.3 6.3 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Francis (PA) 27.5% 18.6 6.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 19.5% 12.5 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 19.8% 12.8 5.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bryant 17.2% 10.7 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 10.3% 5.9 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 8.6% 5.0 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 8.9% 5.2 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 6.1% 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.4% 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Wagner 1.6% 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Francis (PA) 19.5% 19.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.7 9.7 80.5 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 10.6 85.6 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 10.2 85.6 0.0%
Bryant 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 9.4 86.9 0.0%
Robert Morris 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.5 91.4 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.4 92.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.9 92.3 0.0%
Merrimack 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.9 94.1 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.0 94.0 0.0%
Wagner 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 97.9 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
St. Francis (PA) 19.5% 5.7% 16.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 14.4% 7.5% 11.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 14.4% 7.2% 11.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 13.1% 6.6% 10.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 8.6% 6.2% 5.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 8.0% 4.8% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 7.7% 4.5% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 5.9% 3.9% 4.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.0% 4.0% 4.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 75.4% 0.8 24.6 75.4
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0