Merrimack
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#291
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#183
Pace63.8#316
Improvement+0.6#97

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#309
First Shot-6.2#325
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#121
Layup/Dunks-5.9#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#74
Freethrows-1.0#231
Improvement-1.9#341

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#222
First Shot-0.1#174
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#264
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#46
Freethrows-3.2#310
Improvement+2.5#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.1% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 41.8% 54.3% 32.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 66.7% 56.1%
Conference Champion 8.7% 11.2% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.0% 3.8%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
First Round5.5% 6.9% 4.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 6
Quad 413 - 1015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 308   @ Maine L 64-84 47%     0 - 1 -26.1 -7.5 -20.1
  Nov 08, 2019 136   @ Northwestern W 71-61 14%     1 - 1 +14.8 +6.3 +8.9
  Nov 15, 2019 200   Dartmouth L 46-55 33%     1 - 2 -11.3 -16.8 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2019 275   @ Umass Lowell W 60-58 35%     2 - 2 -1.1 -10.1 +9.3
  Nov 17, 2019 273   Jacksonville W 54-44 46%     3 - 2 +4.1 -7.9 +14.3
  Nov 19, 2019 33   @ Providence L 56-93 3%     3 - 3 -22.0 -10.9 -9.5
  Nov 24, 2019 301   @ Hartford L 62-64 44%    
  Nov 29, 2019 135   @ Akron L 58-70 13%    
  Dec 04, 2019 231   @ Brown L 64-70 28%    
  Dec 11, 2019 262   Army W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 22, 2019 169   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-70 20%    
  Dec 29, 2019 172   Boston University L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 02, 2020 257   @ Sacred Heart L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 04, 2020 283   Robert Morris W 64-61 60%    
  Jan 09, 2020 282   Mount St. Mary's W 63-60 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 71-63 77%    
  Jan 15, 2020 260   Bryant W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 18, 2020 283   @ Robert Morris L 61-64 38%    
  Jan 20, 2020 242   @ St. Francis (PA) L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 23, 2020 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 30, 2020 300   St. Francis Brooklyn W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 01, 2020 250   LIU Brooklyn W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 06, 2020 271   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 250   @ LIU Brooklyn L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 300   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 15, 2020 331   Wagner W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 18, 2020 260   @ Bryant L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 21, 2020 257   Sacred Heart W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 23, 2020 282   @ Mount St. Mary's L 60-63 38%    
  Feb 27, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 74-60 89%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.3 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.3 1.0 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.3 1.4 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.4 2.4 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 2.8 0.3 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.8 7.2 10.4 12.3 13.1 13.1 11.4 9.2 6.5 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 97.5% 0.9    0.8 0.0
15-3 89.4% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 64.8% 2.6    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.8% 2.2    0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 4.7 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 52.4% 52.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 28.3% 28.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 36.6% 36.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.0% 26.5% 26.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.4
14-4 4.1% 22.3% 22.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 3.2
13-5 6.5% 16.9% 16.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.4
12-6 9.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 8.0
11-7 11.4% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 10.2
10-8 13.1% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.1
9-9 13.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.4
8-10 12.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.9
7-11 10.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.3
6-12 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.1
5-13 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.2 92.2 0.0%