Merrimack
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#282
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#204
Pace60.9#344
Improvement+2.1#84

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#302
First Shot-4.0#298
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#245
Layup/Dunks-0.3#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
Freethrows-1.4#278
Improvement+1.2#111

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#224
First Shot+0.6#133
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#341
Layups/Dunks+2.5#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#44
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement+0.9#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.2% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 58.0% 77.6% 50.8%
.500 or above in Conference 84.0% 94.6% 80.2%
Conference Champion 8.1% 17.8% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four3.5% 4.0% 3.3%
First Round4.1% 6.1% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 53 - 7
Quad 413 - 816 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 340   @ Maine L 64-84 62%     0 - 1 -29.8 -8.8 -22.3
  Nov 08, 2019 109   @ Northwestern W 71-61 10%     1 - 1 +17.1 +5.6 +11.9
  Nov 15, 2019 209   Dartmouth L 46-55 36%     1 - 2 -12.0 -19.0 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2019 268   @ Umass Lowell W 60-58 36%     2 - 2 -1.1 -10.2 +9.3
  Nov 17, 2019 239   Jacksonville W 54-44 41%     3 - 2 +5.6 -4.2 +12.2
  Nov 19, 2019 67   @ Providence L 56-93 6%     3 - 3 -26.1 -11.8 -12.9
  Nov 24, 2019 283   @ Hartford W 62-58 39%     4 - 3 +0.0 -7.1 +7.3
  Nov 29, 2019 72   @ Akron L 47-64 7%     4 - 4 -6.8 -15.3 +6.9
  Dec 04, 2019 195   @ Brown L 55-82 24%     4 - 5 -26.3 -17.6 -8.5
  Dec 11, 2019 294   Army W 69-60 65%     5 - 5 -1.7 -2.3 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2019 162   @ UC Santa Barbara L 50-68 17%     5 - 6 -14.7 -19.5 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2019 173   Boston University L 67-69 37%     5 - 7 -5.3 +2.9 -8.6
  Jan 02, 2020 202   @ Sacred Heart W 65-57 25%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +8.2 -2.9 +11.9
  Jan 04, 2020 212   Robert Morris L 58-69 47%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -17.0 -15.5 -2.0
  Jan 09, 2020 287   Mount St. Mary's W 64-61 63%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -7.2 -4.6 -2.2
  Jan 11, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 58-46 79%     8 - 8 3 - 1 -3.1 -11.6 +10.6
  Jan 15, 2020 233   Bryant W 71-67 51%     9 - 8 4 - 1 -3.1 +0.7 -3.4
  Jan 18, 2020 212   @ Robert Morris L 59-66 27%    
  Jan 20, 2020 186   @ St. Francis (PA) L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 23, 2020 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-63 70%    
  Jan 30, 2020 305   St. Francis Brooklyn W 67-62 68%    
  Feb 01, 2020 247   LIU Brooklyn W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 06, 2020 312   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 247   @ LIU Brooklyn L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 305   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 15, 2020 322   Wagner W 68-62 72%    
  Feb 18, 2020 233   @ Bryant L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 21, 2020 202   Sacred Heart L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 23, 2020 287   @ Mount St. Mary's L 58-60 41%    
  Feb 27, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 71-57 90%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 2.7 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.4 5.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.0 6.8 1.6 0.1 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 6.5 8.5 1.7 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.6 8.4 2.3 0.1 15.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 6.7 2.9 0.1 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.2 2.6 0.2 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.6 9.5 15.0 19.3 19.3 14.9 9.4 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.8% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 87.6% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 64.5% 2.8    1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 28.5% 2.7    0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1
12-6 5.8% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 3.5 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 26.8% 26.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.5% 11.6% 11.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
14-4 4.3% 12.8% 12.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.8
13-5 9.4% 11.5% 11.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.3
12-6 14.9% 8.5% 8.5% 15.9 0.1 1.2 13.6
11-7 19.3% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.1 1.2 18.0
10-8 19.3% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 18.3
9-9 15.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 14.5
8-10 9.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.3
7-11 4.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.7 5.4 93.9 0.0%