Bryant
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#241
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#246
Pace73.4#73
Improvement-3.9#322

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#236
First Shot-2.7#270
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#122
Layup/Dunks-3.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#41
Freethrows-1.8#302
Improvement-0.3#195

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#246
First Shot+0.4#148
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#348
Layups/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#63
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement-3.6#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 12.8% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 60.5% 79.1% 49.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.1% 68.6% 36.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four5.7% 6.6% 5.2%
First Round7.0% 9.5% 5.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 6
Quad 414 - 916 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 202   Brown L 71-73 54%     0 - 1 -7.5 -4.2 -3.3
  Nov 07, 2019 33   @ Rutgers L 71-73 5%     0 - 2 +12.7 -2.6 +15.5
  Nov 10, 2019 285   Cornell W 82-81 69%     1 - 2 -8.8 -1.5 -7.3
  Nov 13, 2019 238   @ St. Peter's W 69-44 38%     2 - 2 +23.4 -0.7 +23.9
  Nov 18, 2019 294   @ Niagara W 73-62 50%     3 - 2 +6.3 -8.7 +14.5
  Nov 20, 2019 223   @ Drexel L 74-86 36%     3 - 3 -12.8 -0.2 -12.4
  Nov 26, 2019 293   @ New Hampshire L 76-87 OT 49%     3 - 4 -15.5 -10.0 -3.4
  Dec 02, 2019 224   Navy W 60-45 58%     4 - 4 +8.3 -3.0 +14.3
  Dec 06, 2019 255   Columbia W 67-65 64%     5 - 4 -6.2 -10.0 +3.7
  Dec 10, 2019 264   @ Fordham W 69-61 42%     6 - 4 +5.4 +0.0 +5.3
  Dec 21, 2019 201   @ Dartmouth W 64-60 31%     7 - 4 +4.4 -6.3 +10.7
  Dec 29, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 70-84 2%     7 - 5 +5.2 +9.7 -4.9
  Jan 02, 2020 213   St. Francis (PA) W 67-63 56%     8 - 5 1 - 0 -2.1 -7.5 +5.7
  Jan 04, 2020 312   Fairleigh Dickinson L 73-77 76%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -15.9 -10.7 -5.0
  Jan 11, 2020 271   Mount St. Mary's L 65-67 66%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -10.9 +0.6 -11.9
  Jan 15, 2020 254   @ Merrimack L 67-71 41%     8 - 8 1 - 3 -6.3 +1.8 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2020 240   LIU Brooklyn L 60-74 61%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -21.5 -23.4 +3.5
  Jan 23, 2020 333   Wagner W 79-58 81%     9 - 9 2 - 4 +7.0 -2.4 +9.3
  Jan 25, 2020 271   @ Mount St. Mary's L 76-79 44%     9 - 10 2 - 5 -6.1 +8.2 -14.5
  Jan 30, 2020 222   @ Robert Morris L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 01, 2020 213   @ St. Francis (PA) L 74-78 33%    
  Feb 06, 2020 295   St. Francis Brooklyn W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 08, 2020 350   Central Connecticut St. W 82-65 95%    
  Feb 13, 2020 205   @ Sacred Heart L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 79-68 85%    
  Feb 18, 2020 254   Merrimack W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 21, 2020 295   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 23, 2020 205   Sacred Heart W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 27, 2020 312   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 333   @ Wagner W 75-71 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 1.3 0.1 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.0 0.7 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.2 4.5 3.0 0.1 7.8 4th
5th 0.1 3.4 7.4 0.6 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 10.6 2.9 16.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 10.1 6.4 0.4 19.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 8.2 7.8 0.9 19.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.7 1.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.3 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 9.2 16.5 21.8 21.6 15.8 7.7 2.6 0.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 76.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 20.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.4% 26.1% 26.1% 14.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.6% 28.2% 28.2% 15.6 0.3 0.4 1.9
11-7 7.7% 18.8% 18.8% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.2
10-8 15.8% 14.7% 14.7% 15.9 0.2 2.1 13.4
9-9 21.6% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.1 2.7 18.7
8-10 21.8% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6 20.2
7-11 16.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 16.0
6-12 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 1.1 8.4 90.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.2 77.8 22.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%