IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.4	#276
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.9	#325
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#209

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.9%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	16.6%	29.8%	10.9%
.500 or above in Conference	17.5%	25.3%	14.1%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.0%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	32.5%	22.6%	36.8%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.5%	0.9%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 4	9 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	232	@ James Madison	L	62-67	30%
Nov 12, 2019	52	Davidson	L	58-71	11%
Nov 17, 2019	91	Wake Forest	L	63-72	22%
Nov 21, 2019	212	@ Appalachian St.	L	69-75	29%
Nov 27, 2019	162	@ Georgia St.	L	64-73	20%
Nov 30, 2019	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-63	79%
Dec 03, 2019	301	UNC Asheville	W	65-60	66%
Dec 07, 2019	268	@ UNC Wilmington	L	70-74	38%
Dec 16, 2019	199	Valparaiso	L	62-63	46%
Dec 19, 2019	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	52-39	86%
Dec 22, 2019	203	@ East Carolina	L	64-71	28%
Jan 02, 2020	140	UAB	L	62-67	36%
Jan 04, 2020	174	Middle Tennessee	L	64-67	42%
Jan 11, 2020	139	Old Dominion	L	57-62	35%
Jan 16, 2020	188	@ Marshall	L	71-78	27%
Jan 18, 2020	76	@ Western Kentucky	L	59-75	9%
Jan 20, 2020	139	@ Old Dominion	L	54-65	19%
Jan 23, 2020	163	Florida Atlantic	L	64-67	39%
Jan 25, 2020	185	Florida International	L	77-78	45%
Jan 30, 2020	116	@ Louisiana Tech	L	58-71	14%
Feb 01, 2020	238	@ Southern Miss	L	61-66	34%
Feb 06, 2020	169	UTEP	L	63-66	40%
Feb 08, 2020	121	Texas San Antonio	L	69-76	29%
Feb 13, 2020	152	@ North Texas	L	57-67	20%
Feb 15, 2020	229	@ Rice	L	68-74	32%
Projected Record						9 - 16	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			1.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	1.0	0.6	0.0	0.0				1.9	3rd
4th								0.1	1.1	1.1	0.1	0.0					2.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.7	1.9	0.4	0.0						3.1	5th
6th							0.3	2.3	1.3	0.0							4.0	6th
7th						0.1	1.5	2.8	0.3								4.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.8	1.3	0.0								5.8	8th
9th					0.2	3.1	3.4	0.2									7.0	9th
10th				0.1	2.0	5.7	1.2	0.0									9.0	10th
11th			0.0	1.2	5.8	3.3	0.1										10.5	11th
12th		0.0	1.0	5.7	5.4	0.7	0.0										12.9	12th
13th		1.4	5.6	7.5	1.8	0.1											16.5	13th
14th	3.7	7.8	6.6	2.3	0.2												20.5	14th

Total	3.7	9.2	13.3	16.8	15.5	13.6	10.4	7.5	4.8	2.9	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	98.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-2	77.0%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
11-3	41.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-4	11.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-5	0.6%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%												0.0						0.0					0.0
13-1	0.0%		2.4%	2.4%		12.0													0.0					0.0
12-2	0.2%		7.0%	6.7%	0.3%	12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		0.3%
11-3	0.6%		13.6%	13.6%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
10-4	1.5%		6.5%	6.5%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4
9-5	2.9%		4.7%	4.7%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.7
8-6	4.8%		1.4%	1.4%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	4.7
7-7	7.5%		0.8%	0.8%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.4
6-8	10.4%		0.5%	0.5%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
5-9	13.6%		0.1%	0.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	13.6
4-10	15.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	15.5
3-11	16.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	16.8
2-12	13.3%																							13.3
1-13	9.2%																							9.2
0-14	3.7%																							3.7

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	14.8							0.0						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%