Preseason Rankings
Rice
Conference USA
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#229
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.9#63
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#173
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 4.7% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 28.2% 58.3% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 50.0% 31.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 4.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 9.7% 17.8%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round1.8% 4.5% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 6.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 46 - 310 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 57   @ Arkansas L 73-89 7%    
  Nov 09, 2019 98   Penn L 73-78 32%    
  Nov 12, 2019 347   @ Northwestern St. W 79-72 75%    
  Nov 16, 2019 160   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-77 27%    
  Nov 19, 2019 32   Houston L 67-80 13%    
  Nov 22, 2019 250   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 07, 2019 281   @ Lamar W 77-76 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 292   Houston Baptist W 91-84 72%    
  Dec 29, 2019 186   Sam Houston St. W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 02, 2020 188   @ Marshall L 84-89 35%    
  Jan 04, 2020 76   @ Western Kentucky L 70-84 13%    
  Jan 09, 2020 163   Florida Atlantic L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 11, 2020 185   Florida International W 90-89 54%    
  Jan 16, 2020 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 18, 2020 238   @ Southern Miss L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 20, 2020 152   @ North Texas L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 23, 2020 169   UTEP L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 25, 2020 121   Texas San Antonio L 81-85 37%    
  Feb 01, 2020 152   North Texas L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 06, 2020 140   @ UAB L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 174   @ Middle Tennessee L 72-78 32%    
  Feb 13, 2020 139   Old Dominion L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 15, 2020 276   Charlotte W 74-68 68%    
Projected Record 9 - 14 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.0 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.5 2.6 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 4.4 0.6 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.8 4.9 2.2 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.7 4.5 0.3 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 6.0 1.5 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 5.2 3.6 0.1 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.8 0.8 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.7 3.6 5.0 1.5 0.0 10.8 13th
14th 1.2 3.4 3.5 1.2 0.1 9.4 14th
Total 1.2 4.1 7.8 11.7 13.8 15.0 13.6 11.6 9.1 5.8 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 96.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 64.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-3 43.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-4 10.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 63.3% 35.0% 28.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.6%
13-1 0.2% 26.5% 25.6% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3%
12-2 0.8% 18.0% 14.9% 3.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.6%
11-3 2.0% 12.4% 12.3% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7 0.1%
10-4 3.4% 10.7% 10.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.0
9-5 5.8% 6.3% 6.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.5
8-6 9.1% 4.0% 4.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7
7-7 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.4
6-8 13.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-9 15.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.9
4-10 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
3-11 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.7
2-12 7.8% 7.8
1-13 4.1% 4.1
0-14 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%