Preseason Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#202
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.9#19
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#142
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#269
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 5.8% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 43.0% 48.0% 20.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.3% 53.1% 31.9%
Conference Champion 6.1% 6.9% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.6% 16.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round5.1% 5.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 410 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 316   McNeese St. W 82-72 82%    
  Nov 12, 2019 68   @ TCU L 72-85 10%    
  Nov 15, 2019 225   Youngstown St. W 83-79 64%    
  Nov 21, 2019 275   @ Wyoming W 78-77 53%    
  Nov 25, 2019 219   Detroit Mercy W 85-84 52%    
  Nov 26, 2019 106   UC Irvine L 71-78 28%    
  Dec 03, 2019 299   SE Louisiana W 78-70 77%    
  Dec 07, 2019 65   @ Arizona St. L 77-91 12%    
  Dec 14, 2019 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-80 22%    
  Dec 18, 2019 271   @ Arkansas St. W 81-80 52%    
  Dec 21, 2019 220   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-78 62%    
  Dec 29, 2019 160   UC Santa Barbara W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 02, 2020 138   South Alabama L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 297   Troy W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 06, 2020 212   @ Appalachian St. L 84-86 43%    
  Jan 09, 2020 162   @ Georgia St. L 78-83 32%    
  Jan 11, 2020 122   @ Georgia Southern L 82-91 24%    
  Jan 16, 2020 135   Texas Arlington L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 18, 2020 156   Texas St. W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 223   Louisiana Monroe W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 30, 2020 135   @ Texas Arlington L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 01, 2020 156   @ Texas St. L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 06, 2020 162   Georgia St. W 81-80 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 122   Georgia Southern L 85-88 42%    
  Feb 13, 2020 138   @ South Alabama L 74-81 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 297   @ Troy W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 22, 2020 223   @ Louisiana Monroe L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 26, 2020 271   Arkansas St. W 84-77 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 220   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 79-81 43%    
  Mar 03, 2020 172   Coastal Carolina W 82-81 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.9 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.8 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.1 5.8 7.6 8.8 9.6 10.5 10.0 9.4 8.6 7.0 5.7 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 95.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1
17-3 83.7% 1.1    1.0 0.2 0.0
16-4 71.6% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 37.6% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.5% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 87.0% 60.9% 26.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
19-1 0.2% 71.4% 66.8% 4.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.8%
18-2 0.7% 41.1% 36.6% 4.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 7.2%
17-3 1.4% 36.0% 35.8% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3%
16-4 2.4% 29.3% 29.3% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 0.0%
15-5 3.8% 23.5% 23.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.9
14-6 5.7% 16.1% 16.1% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.8
13-7 7.0% 9.7% 9.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.3
12-8 8.6% 6.2% 6.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.1
11-9 9.4% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1
10-10 10.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
9-11 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 10.5
8-12 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-14 7.6% 7.6
5-15 5.8% 5.8
4-16 4.1% 4.1
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.2% 5.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.4 94.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%