Preseason Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#110
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 5.2% 5.7% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 11.0% 12.0% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.4% 30.4% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.0% 28.8% 11.3%
Average Seed 7.2 7.1 8.3
.500 or above 47.9% 51.0% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 24.4% 25.8% 12.9%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 29.5% 27.9% 43.2%
First Four2.1% 2.2% 0.9%
First Round27.4% 29.2% 11.6%
Second Round15.5% 16.8% 5.1%
Sweet Sixteen6.0% 6.5% 1.1%
Elite Eight2.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 89.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 37 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 44 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 202   Louisiana W 85-72 90%    
  Nov 18, 2019 170   Air Force W 77-65 85%    
  Nov 21, 2019 106   UC Irvine W 73-66 73%    
  Nov 24, 2019 81   Clemson W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 03, 2019 187   Illinois St. W 77-64 88%    
  Dec 06, 2019 64   USC W 78-75 59%    
  Dec 11, 2019 218   Winthrop W 86-72 89%    
  Dec 14, 2019 281   Lamar W 82-64 94%    
  Dec 22, 2019 23   Xavier L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 30, 2019 151   George Mason W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 04, 2020 35   Iowa St. L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 07, 2020 50   @ Kansas St. L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 11, 2020 49   Oklahoma St. W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 14, 2020 46   @ West Virginia L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 38   @ Oklahoma L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 21, 2020 13   Texas Tech L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 25, 2020 57   @ Arkansas L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 29, 2020 24   Texas L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 01, 2020 15   @ Baylor L 66-76 21%    
  Feb 05, 2020 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 08, 2020 4   Kansas L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 10, 2020 13   @ Texas Tech L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 50   Kansas St. W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 19, 2020 24   @ Texas L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 22, 2020 46   West Virginia W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 25, 2020 35   @ Iowa St. L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 15   Baylor L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 04, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 69-83 12%    
  Mar 07, 2020 38   Oklahoma L 73-74 50%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.6 1.8 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.8 5.6 5.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 16.7 9th
10th 1.1 3.5 5.6 6.2 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 21.4 10th
Total 1.1 3.5 6.3 9.1 10.7 11.8 11.9 11.3 9.7 7.7 6.0 4.2 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 73.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 52.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 30.0% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 57.1% 42.9% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 32.5% 67.5% 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 2.9 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.9% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 3.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.0% 99.2% 11.3% 87.8% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
11-7 4.2% 96.8% 6.2% 90.6% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.6%
10-8 6.0% 90.0% 3.8% 86.2% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 89.6%
9-9 7.7% 76.2% 3.0% 73.2% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 75.5%
8-10 9.7% 43.8% 1.5% 42.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.3 5.5 42.9%
7-11 11.3% 16.1% 0.4% 15.6% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.5 15.7%
6-12 11.9% 3.6% 0.5% 3.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.5 3.1%
5-13 11.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.4%
4-14 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 10.7
3-15 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 9.1
2-16 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 6.3
1-17 3.5% 3.5
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 28.4% 2.0% 26.4% 7.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.0 71.6 27.0%