Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#200
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#131
Pace72.6#109
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.4% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 45.6% 55.7% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.9% 59.6% 42.9%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.3% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 5.4% 10.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round4.3% 5.3% 2.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Away) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 410 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 142   @ Missouri St. W 67-66 26%     1 - 0 +5.3 +6.9 -1.4
  Nov 10, 2019 164   @ Illinois St. L 70-75 32%     1 - 1 -2.4 +0.0 -2.5
  Nov 17, 2019 294   @ Central Arkansas W 80-78 60%    
  Nov 20, 2019 20   @ Memphis L 73-92 4%    
  Nov 23, 2019 40   @ North Carolina St. L 71-87 7%    
  Nov 26, 2019 299   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-69 78%    
  Nov 27, 2019 338   Alcorn St. W 76-63 88%    
  Nov 30, 2019 70   East Tennessee St. L 70-77 28%    
  Dec 07, 2019 145   @ North Texas L 60-66 28%    
  Dec 10, 2019 243   Tennessee St. W 77-72 68%    
  Dec 19, 2019 229   @ Louisiana Monroe L 70-72 45%    
  Dec 21, 2019 242   @ Louisiana L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 02, 2020 150   Texas St. L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 04, 2020 117   Texas Arlington L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 06, 2020 112   Georgia Southern L 78-80 43%    
  Jan 09, 2020 298   @ Troy W 75-72 58%    
  Jan 11, 2020 134   South Alabama L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 16, 2020 194   @ Coastal Carolina L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 18, 2020 187   @ Appalachian St. L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 22, 2020 298   Troy W 78-69 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 134   @ South Alabama L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 30, 2020 194   Coastal Carolina W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 01, 2020 187   Appalachian St. W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 283   Arkansas St. W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 13, 2020 150   @ Texas St. L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 117   @ Texas Arlington L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 22, 2020 283   @ Arkansas St. W 75-74 56%    
  Feb 27, 2020 229   Louisiana Monroe W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 242   Louisiana W 83-78 66%    
  Mar 03, 2020 159   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 33%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.4 2.3 4.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 4.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.3 4.9 6.5 8.9 9.7 11.1 11.0 10.2 9.6 7.6 5.7 3.9 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 96.9% 0.6    0.6 0.1
17-3 88.2% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
16-4 61.9% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.6% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 10.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 33.3% 25.6% 7.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3%
18-2 0.7% 32.8% 31.3% 1.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2%
17-3 1.5% 35.4% 35.4% 13.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.5% 20.1% 20.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.0
15-5 3.9% 22.8% 22.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0
14-6 5.7% 11.6% 11.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.1
13-7 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 7.0
12-8 9.6% 4.0% 4.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.2
11-9 10.2% 2.8% 2.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.9
10-10 11.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9
9-11 11.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
8-12 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 9.7
7-13 8.9% 8.9
6-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-15 4.9% 4.9
4-16 3.3% 3.3
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.3% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.1 0.3 95.6 0.0%