Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#188
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#243
Pace70.2#167
Improvement+1.1#54

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#190
First Shot-2.4#246
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#82
Layup/Dunks+3.3#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#241
Freethrows-1.5#258
Improvement+0.3#124

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#203
First Shot-1.2#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks-3.2#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#7
Freethrows-5.2#336
Improvement+0.9#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 6.6% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 70.8% 75.0% 48.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 79.5% 65.9%
Conference Champion 5.9% 6.4% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 2.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round6.0% 6.5% 3.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Neutral) - 84.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 414 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 11   @ Texas Tech L 60-85 4%     0 - 1 -5.8 -3.9 -1.1
  Nov 08, 2019 29   @ Wisconsin L 52-65 6%     0 - 2 +2.6 -7.9 +9.7
  Nov 12, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 98-34 97%     1 - 2 +40.3 +3.0 +31.3
  Nov 23, 2019 336   Bethune-Cookman W 80-69 84%    
  Nov 24, 2019 346   @ Incarnate Word W 75-65 83%    
  Dec 04, 2019 242   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-78 49%    
  Dec 07, 2019 179   Green Bay W 81-78 59%    
  Dec 14, 2019 248   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-70 50%    
  Dec 16, 2019 311   @ Western Illinois W 78-73 67%    
  Dec 21, 2019 154   @ Grand Canyon L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 02, 2020 244   @ Tennessee St. L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 04, 2020 59   @ Belmont L 72-86 11%    
  Jan 09, 2020 267   @ Eastern Kentucky W 81-80 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 213   @ Morehead St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 16, 2020 224   Jacksonville St. W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 322   Tennessee Tech W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 23, 2020 289   Tennessee Martin W 83-75 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 303   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-67 81%    
  Jan 30, 2020 113   @ Murray St. L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 238   @ Austin Peay L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 06, 2020 267   Eastern Kentucky W 84-77 72%    
  Feb 08, 2020 213   Morehead St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 13, 2020 328   SIU Edwardsville W 78-66 85%    
  Feb 15, 2020 289   @ Tennessee Martin W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 20, 2020 113   Murray St. L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 238   Austin Peay W 79-73 68%    
  Feb 27, 2020 303   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 29, 2020 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-69 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.1 5.6 3.0 0.9 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.1 6.3 5.0 1.5 0.1 18.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.6 3.4 0.7 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.4 0.2 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 3.9 5.9 8.7 10.8 12.6 13.9 12.3 11.2 8.2 4.9 2.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 94.2% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-2 66.9% 1.7    1.1 0.7 0.0
15-3 35.5% 1.7    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 13.1% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 36.9% 36.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 34.3% 34.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.6% 29.0% 29.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8
15-3 4.9% 20.8% 20.8% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.9
14-4 8.2% 16.5% 16.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 6.9
13-5 11.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 10.0
12-6 12.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 11.5
11-7 13.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 13.5
10-8 12.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.4
9-9 10.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.7
8-10 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 5.9% 5.9
6-12 3.9% 3.9
5-13 2.4% 2.4
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 2.1 0.9 93.9 0.0%