Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#248
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#241
Pace68.9#207
Improvement+1.0#66

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#265
First Shot-2.2#239
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#205
Layup/Dunks-7.1#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#84
Freethrows+2.8#47
Improvement+1.0#64

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#216
First Shot-3.1#269
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#93
Layups/Dunks+1.1#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#223
Freethrows-3.8#323
Improvement+0.0#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.0% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 30.9% 44.1% 21.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.2% 53.7% 39.2%
Conference Champion 4.0% 5.4% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 5.0% 9.0%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round4.1% 5.6% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Neutral) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 49 - 512 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 241   Western Michigan L 110-115 3OT 60%     0 - 1 -12.3 -6.4 -4.2
  Nov 15, 2019 266   UMKC W 61-52 65%     1 - 1 +0.4 -8.1 +9.6
  Nov 19, 2019 290   North Dakota W 79-70 69%     2 - 1 -0.9 -3.8 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2019 201   Rice L 77-79 41%    
  Dec 03, 2019 135   @ Drake L 67-77 18%    
  Dec 10, 2019 3   @ Kansas L 59-86 1%    
  Dec 14, 2019 188   Eastern Illinois L 70-71 50%    
  Dec 21, 2019 29   @ Wisconsin L 53-73 3%    
  Dec 28, 2019 126   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-73 19%    
  Dec 30, 2019 109   @ Wright St. L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 03, 2020 265   IUPUI W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 05, 2020 209   Illinois-Chicago W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 179   @ Green Bay L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 16, 2020 284   Detroit Mercy W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 18, 2020 178   Oakland L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 23, 2020 249   @ Youngstown St. L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 25, 2020 344   @ Cleveland St. W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 31, 2020 109   Wright St. L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 02, 2020 126   Northern Kentucky L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 06, 2020 209   @ Illinois-Chicago L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 265   @ IUPUI L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 15, 2020 179   Green Bay L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 21, 2020 178   @ Oakland L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 23, 2020 284   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 27, 2020 344   Cleveland St. W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 29, 2020 249   Youngstown St. W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 3.7 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 5.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.0 3.7 0.6 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 14.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.7 5.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.7 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.6 8.2 10.6 12.2 12.9 12.1 10.5 8.3 6.2 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 80.5% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 53.9% 1.2    0.7 0.5 0.1
13-5 23.4% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
12-6 5.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 37.5% 37.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 38.8% 38.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.2% 23.8% 23.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9
14-4 2.3% 22.2% 22.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.5
12-6 6.2% 10.8% 10.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.5
11-7 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 7.7
10-8 10.5% 5.6% 5.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.0
9-9 12.1% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.7
8-10 12.9% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.6
7-11 12.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.1
6-12 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
5-13 8.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 5.6% 5.6
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.8 95.5 0.0%