Wisconsin
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#50
Pace61.1#345
Improvement+2.1#17

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#68
First Shot+4.9#63
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#202
Layup/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#115
Freethrows+2.6#54
Improvement+2.1#13

Defense
Total Defense+8.4#10
First Shot+7.5#13
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#130
Layups/Dunks+4.4#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#90
Freethrows+0.5#154
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 5.7% 5.9% 1.3%
Top 4 Seed 18.1% 18.8% 7.1%
Top 6 Seed 33.8% 34.8% 18.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.5% 65.8% 43.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.8% 64.1% 42.0%
Average Seed 6.4 6.3 7.2
.500 or above 83.7% 85.1% 61.3%
.500 or above in Conference 68.2% 69.1% 53.1%
Conference Champion 4.4% 4.6% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 1.0% 1.9%
First Four4.0% 4.0% 4.1%
First Round62.6% 63.9% 41.3%
Second Round41.6% 42.6% 25.3%
Sweet Sixteen19.7% 20.3% 10.2%
Elite Eight8.7% 9.0% 3.9%
Final Four3.8% 4.0% 1.7%
Championship Game1.7% 1.7% 0.6%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.1%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 94.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 24 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 34   St. Mary's L 63-65 OT 53%     0 - 1 +9.8 -3.3 +13.1
  Nov 08, 2019 188   Eastern Illinois W 65-52 94%     1 - 1 +8.4 -6.7 +15.9
  Nov 13, 2019 302   McNeese St. W 83-63 98%     2 - 1 +8.7 +8.1 +1.9
  Nov 17, 2019 26   Marquette W 77-61 61%     3 - 1 +25.8 +9.8 +16.3
  Nov 21, 2019 179   Green Bay W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 25, 2019 105   Richmond W 71-62 80%    
  Dec 04, 2019 39   @ North Carolina St. L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 07, 2019 35   Indiana W 67-63 64%    
  Dec 11, 2019 91   @ Rutgers W 64-60 65%    
  Dec 21, 2019 248   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-53 97%    
  Dec 28, 2019 17   @ Tennessee L 63-67 35%    
  Dec 31, 2019 199   Rider W 80-62 95%    
  Jan 03, 2020 6   @ Ohio St. L 57-65 25%    
  Jan 08, 2020 49   Illinois W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 11, 2020 22   @ Penn St. L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 14, 2020 7   Maryland L 64-65 45%    
  Jan 17, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 60-72 15%    
  Jan 21, 2020 137   Nebraska W 70-56 89%    
  Jan 24, 2020 16   @ Purdue L 60-64 35%    
  Jan 27, 2020 64   @ Iowa W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 01, 2020 1   Michigan St. L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 05, 2020 73   @ Minnesota W 64-61 59%    
  Feb 09, 2020 6   Ohio St. L 60-62 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 137   @ Nebraska W 67-59 75%    
  Feb 18, 2020 16   Purdue W 63-61 55%    
  Feb 23, 2020 91   Rutgers W 67-57 81%    
  Feb 27, 2020 31   @ Michigan L 59-62 41%    
  Mar 01, 2020 73   Minnesota W 67-58 77%    
  Mar 04, 2020 136   Northwestern W 67-53 88%    
  Mar 07, 2020 35   @ Indiana L 64-66 43%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 5.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.7 5.7 8.1 10.6 12.2 12.8 12.6 10.2 8.2 5.8 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 91.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1
17-3 69.7% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
16-4 37.0% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 13.0% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 22.9% 77.1% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.5% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 2.7 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.8% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3.5 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.2% 99.8% 9.3% 90.5% 4.6 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 10.2% 98.7% 6.9% 91.8% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.5 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
12-8 12.6% 95.8% 4.3% 91.5% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 95.7%
11-9 12.8% 85.0% 2.7% 82.3% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.0 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 1.9 84.5%
10-10 12.2% 59.9% 1.4% 58.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.9 59.4%
9-11 10.6% 29.5% 0.8% 28.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 7.5 29.0%
8-12 8.1% 7.5% 0.7% 6.8% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 7.5 6.9%
7-13 5.7% 1.7% 0.1% 1.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.6 1.5%
6-14 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 3.7 0.0%
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 64.5% 4.7% 59.8% 6.4 2.0 3.6 5.9 6.5 7.9 7.9 7.4 7.3 5.8 4.7 4.4 0.9 0.0 35.5 62.8%