Wisconsin
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#24
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#40
Pace58.9#350
Improvement+4.2#26

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#49
First Shot+6.5#22
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#299
Layup/Dunks+0.6#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#77
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement+2.4#53

Defense
Total Defense+8.4#17
First Shot+7.2#20
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks+2.5#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#87
Freethrows+4.1#7
Improvement+1.7#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 18.4% 19.7% 7.8%
Top 6 Seed 45.6% 47.9% 27.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.8% 85.6% 68.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 82.6% 84.5% 67.4%
Average Seed 6.3 6.2 7.1
.500 or above 93.6% 95.0% 82.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 85.0% 62.0%
Conference Champion 7.2% 7.9% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four2.4% 2.2% 4.3%
First Round82.8% 84.7% 66.9%
Second Round54.5% 56.3% 39.9%
Sweet Sixteen25.2% 26.3% 15.8%
Elite Eight10.8% 11.3% 6.8%
Final Four4.7% 4.8% 3.2%
Championship Game1.8% 1.9% 1.2%
National Champion0.7% 0.7% 0.3%

Next Game: Nebraska (Home) - 89.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 39 - 10
Quad 23 - 312 - 13
Quad 32 - 114 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 38   St. Mary's L 63-65 OT 56%     0 - 1 +9.4 -5.6 +15.0
  Nov 08, 2019 216   Eastern Illinois W 65-52 95%     1 - 1 +6.8 -7.5 +15.1
  Nov 13, 2019 275   McNeese St. W 83-63 97%     2 - 1 +10.8 +7.8 +4.2
  Nov 17, 2019 27   Marquette W 77-61 63%     3 - 1 +25.8 +9.3 +16.8
  Nov 21, 2019 214   Green Bay W 88-70 95%     4 - 1 +11.9 +6.0 +5.5
  Nov 25, 2019 80   Richmond L 52-62 72%     4 - 2 -3.1 -14.6 +10.7
  Nov 26, 2019 123   New Mexico L 50-59 83%     4 - 3 -6.1 -17.8 +10.6
  Dec 04, 2019 43   @ North Carolina St. L 54-69 48%     4 - 4 -1.4 -4.2 -0.1
  Dec 07, 2019 40   Indiana W 84-64 68%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +28.2 +26.4 +4.1
  Dec 11, 2019 32   @ Rutgers L 65-72 44%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +7.7 +6.7 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2019 245   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-64 96%     6 - 5 +11.5 +11.6 +1.0
  Dec 28, 2019 52   @ Tennessee W 68-48 53%     7 - 5 +32.3 +11.0 +23.4
  Dec 31, 2019 190   Rider W 65-37 94%     8 - 5 +23.5 -9.3 +33.7
  Jan 03, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. W 61-57 33%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +21.5 +5.6 +16.4
  Jan 08, 2020 34   Illinois L 70-71 66%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +7.9 +9.5 -1.8
  Jan 11, 2020 30   @ Penn St. W 58-49 42%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +24.1 -0.5 +25.7
  Jan 14, 2020 7   Maryland W 56-54 49%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +15.4 +6.1 +9.8
  Jan 17, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 55-67 23%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +8.9 -3.9 +11.8
  Jan 21, 2020 120   Nebraska W 72-59 89%    
  Jan 24, 2020 19   @ Purdue L 54-58 36%    
  Jan 27, 2020 16   @ Iowa L 66-70 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 4   Michigan St. L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 05, 2020 35   @ Minnesota L 62-63 44%    
  Feb 09, 2020 14   Ohio St. W 61-60 55%    
  Feb 15, 2020 120   @ Nebraska W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 18, 2020 19   Purdue W 57-55 58%    
  Feb 23, 2020 32   Rutgers W 61-57 65%    
  Feb 27, 2020 22   @ Michigan L 61-64 38%    
  Mar 01, 2020 35   Minnesota W 65-61 66%    
  Mar 04, 2020 100   Northwestern W 66-55 85%    
  Mar 07, 2020 40   @ Indiana L 61-62 47%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 7.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.6 6.2 4.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 6.5 5.7 0.9 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 3.5 7.6 1.5 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.6 7.1 3.1 0.1 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 6.0 0.5 9.5 6th
7th 0.6 5.8 2.1 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 2.0 4.7 0.2 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.8 1.4 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.8 0.2 4.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.2 0.6 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.3 9.8 15.8 19.5 19.3 14.4 8.6 3.6 1.1 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 99.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 87.6% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 64.3% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 32.1% 2.8    0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.6% 1.0    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.6% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 2.9 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 8.6% 100.0% 14.4% 85.6% 3.8 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 14.4% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 4.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 5.1 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 19.3% 99.6% 8.1% 91.5% 6.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.4 6.0 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.6%
11-9 19.5% 97.5% 4.8% 92.7% 7.3 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.2 5.4 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.5 97.4%
10-10 15.8% 85.8% 2.7% 83.1% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.4 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.0 2.3 85.4%
9-11 9.8% 37.9% 1.8% 36.2% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.1 36.8%
8-12 5.3% 7.3% 1.1% 6.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.9 6.2%
7-13 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.6%
6-14 0.5% 0.5
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 83.8% 6.8% 77.0% 6.3 0.6 2.3 6.4 9.1 13.4 13.8 13.2 10.9 6.4 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 16.2 82.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.8 29.6 56.3 14.1