Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#270
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#258
Pace75.2#63
Improvement-0.7#258

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#263
First Shot-4.3#292
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#104
Layup/Dunks-0.3#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.2#344
Freethrows+2.5#58
Improvement-0.4#244

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#260
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#273
Layups/Dunks+2.9#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#235
Freethrows-3.4#313
Improvement-0.3#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.4% 37.9% 24.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 72.2% 92.5% 71.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 97.6% 91.9%
Conference Champion 34.0% 51.1% 33.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four19.3% 19.0% 19.3%
First Round17.2% 30.5% 16.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 416 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2019 310   @ SE Louisiana W 81-70 53%     1 - 0 +4.6 +0.5 +3.1
  Nov 20, 2019 313   @ San Jose St. L 76-83 53%     1 - 1 -13.5 -9.1 -3.6
  Nov 23, 2019 68   @ Oregon St. L 66-83 6%    
  Nov 26, 2019 286   Portland St. W 79-78 54%    
  Nov 29, 2019 170   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 07, 2019 175   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-72 24%    
  Dec 10, 2019 235   @ Louisiana Monroe L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 17, 2019 26   @ Marquette L 65-86 2%    
  Dec 23, 2019 56   @ Dayton L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 04, 2020 351   Alabama A&M W 81-65 92%    
  Jan 06, 2020 324   Alabama St. W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 11, 2020 343   @ Southern W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 13, 2020 338   @ Alcorn St. W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 18, 2020 268   Prairie View W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 20, 2020 279   Texas Southern W 83-79 62%    
  Jan 25, 2020 317   @ Jackson St. W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 01, 2020 341   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 03, 2020 352   @ Mississippi Valley W 93-81 85%    
  Feb 08, 2020 343   Southern W 75-64 83%    
  Feb 10, 2020 338   Alcorn St. W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 15, 2020 268   @ Prairie View L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 17, 2020 279   @ Texas Southern L 80-82 42%    
  Feb 22, 2020 317   Jackson St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 29, 2020 341   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-64 83%    
  Mar 02, 2020 352   Mississippi Valley W 96-78 93%    
  Mar 05, 2020 351   @ Alabama A&M W 78-68 80%    
  Mar 07, 2020 324   @ Alabama St. W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.0 7.0 9.4 7.7 4.9 1.6 34.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.5 7.7 6.4 2.5 0.4 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.1 3.3 0.7 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.3 1.6 0.2 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.8 8.3 10.8 12.8 14.1 14.0 11.9 8.1 4.9 1.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 100.0% 4.9    4.8 0.1
16-2 95.3% 7.7    6.8 0.9 0.0
15-3 79.1% 9.4    6.7 2.5 0.1
14-4 49.9% 7.0    3.6 2.8 0.6 0.0
13-5 21.0% 3.0    0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 34.0% 34.0 24.3 7.9 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 63.4% 63.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6
17-1 4.9% 56.5% 56.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.1
16-2 8.1% 47.4% 47.4% 15.8 0.1 0.6 3.2 4.3
15-3 11.9% 39.5% 39.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.4 7.2
14-4 14.0% 31.4% 31.4% 16.0 0.0 4.3 9.6
13-5 14.1% 24.3% 24.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4 10.7
12-6 12.8% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4 10.3
11-7 10.8% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 1.4 9.5
10-8 8.3% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.8 7.5
9-9 5.8% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.4 5.4
8-10 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.2 3.4
7-11 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 2.1
6-12 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 25.4% 25.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 22.6 74.6 0.0%