VMI
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#289
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#337
Pace68.4#208
Improvement+1.6#113

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#229
First Shot-1.7#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#6
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement+0.2#166

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#323
First Shot-3.9#303
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#318
Layups/Dunks-3.2#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#243
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+1.4#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.6% 31.3% 54.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 31 - 71 - 15
Quad 45 - 96 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 230   @ East Carolina L 68-80 27%     0 - 1 -13.1 -5.0 -8.1
  Nov 08, 2019 336   Marist L 56-58 74%     0 - 2 -16.3 -17.0 +0.5
  Nov 11, 2019 324   Presbyterian L 77-80 OT 70%     0 - 3 -16.0 -5.2 -10.7
  Nov 14, 2019 207   @ Arkansas St. L 56-71 24%     0 - 4 -15.1 -14.2 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2019 312   Idaho L 67-68 56%     0 - 5 -10.1 -6.6 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2019 252   UC Davis W 89-84 2OT 40%     1 - 5 -0.1 +0.6 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2019 82   @ UNC Greensboro L 63-74 6%     1 - 6 -1.2 +0.9 -2.7
  Dec 04, 2019 99   @ Duquesne L 58-71 8%     1 - 7 -5.0 -3.9 -2.5
  Dec 07, 2019 314   Stetson W 88-61 67%     2 - 7 +14.8 +20.6 -2.2
  Dec 21, 2019 60   @ Virginia Tech L 55-64 5%     2 - 8 +2.3 -8.8 +10.6
  Dec 29, 2019 328   @ South Carolina Upstate L 82-91 51%     2 - 9 -16.8 +3.7 -20.4
  Jan 01, 2020 85   Furman L 73-89 15%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -12.6 -0.5 -11.7
  Jan 04, 2020 285   Samford L 75-78 59%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -12.9 -8.3 -4.5
  Jan 08, 2020 169   Western Carolina L 85-97 33%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -15.2 -3.3 -10.6
  Jan 11, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 55-61 5%     2 - 13 0 - 4 +4.7 -5.9 +10.0
  Jan 15, 2020 228   @ Mercer L 62-73 26%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -11.8 -8.0 -4.5
  Jan 18, 2020 300   The Citadel W 88-79 63%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -2.1 +1.0 -3.8
  Jan 22, 2020 130   @ Wofford L 54-66 12%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -6.6 -16.2 +9.2
  Jan 25, 2020 228   Mercer L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 29, 2020 85   @ Furman L 63-80 6%    
  Feb 05, 2020 130   Wofford L 66-73 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 300   @ The Citadel L 78-80 41%    
  Feb 12, 2020 157   @ Chattanooga L 65-76 16%    
  Feb 15, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 63-75 13%    
  Feb 19, 2020 169   @ Western Carolina L 74-84 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 82   UNC Greensboro L 63-74 15%    
  Feb 26, 2020 157   Chattanooga L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 285   @ Samford L 74-78 37%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 3 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 2.8 1.2 0.2 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 9.7 9.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 25.3 8th
9th 0.5 7.0 17.4 12.2 3.3 0.3 40.6 9th
10th 6.5 12.5 6.3 1.1 0.1 26.5 10th
Total 7.0 19.7 26.3 23.3 14.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.5% 0.5
7-11 2.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.1
6-12 6.3% 6.3
5-13 14.7% 14.7
4-14 23.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.3
3-15 26.3% 26.3
2-16 19.7% 19.7
1-17 7.0% 7.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.1%