VMI
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#319
Expected Predictive Rating-24.8#353
Pace71.0#145
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#335
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.5 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 2.5% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 5.3% 2.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.2% 40.6% 52.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Away) - 28.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 14
Quad 45 - 97 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 217   @ East Carolina L 68-80 18%     0 - 1 -12.2 -3.8 -8.4
  Nov 08, 2019 330   Marist L 56-58 65%     0 - 2 -16.1 -17.8 +1.6
  Nov 11, 2019 317   Presbyterian L 77-80 OT 61%     0 - 3 -16.0 -5.7 -10.3
  Nov 14, 2019 284   @ Arkansas St. L 71-77 28%    
  Nov 15, 2019 338   Idaho W 71-69 57%    
  Nov 17, 2019 297   UC Davis L 68-70 42%    
  Nov 24, 2019 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 62-81 5%    
  Dec 04, 2019 105   @ Duquesne L 67-84 6%    
  Dec 07, 2019 329   Stetson W 79-75 64%    
  Dec 21, 2019 66   @ Virginia Tech L 57-78 3%    
  Dec 29, 2019 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 01, 2020 56   Furman L 64-80 7%    
  Jan 04, 2020 192   Samford L 74-79 31%    
  Jan 08, 2020 182   Western Carolina L 75-81 31%    
  Jan 11, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-84 3%    
  Jan 15, 2020 234   @ Mercer L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 18, 2020 307   The Citadel W 85-83 57%    
  Jan 22, 2020 108   @ Wofford L 66-83 7%    
  Jan 25, 2020 234   Mercer L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 29, 2020 56   @ Furman L 61-83 3%    
  Feb 05, 2020 108   Wofford L 69-80 19%    
  Feb 08, 2020 307   @ The Citadel L 82-86 36%    
  Feb 12, 2020 244   @ Chattanooga L 66-75 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 66-81 10%    
  Feb 19, 2020 182   @ Western Carolina L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 22, 2020 89   UNC Greensboro L 65-78 14%    
  Feb 26, 2020 244   Chattanooga L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 29, 2020 192   @ Samford L 71-82 16%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.1 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 4.9 6.8 3.4 0.6 0.1 16.8 8th
9th 0.5 4.1 10.0 9.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 28.3 9th
10th 4.0 10.3 12.0 7.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 36.0 10th
Total 4.0 10.8 16.2 18.6 16.9 12.4 9.1 5.4 3.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 0.9% 0.9
9-9 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
8-10 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
7-11 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
6-12 9.1% 9.1
5-13 12.4% 12.4
4-14 16.9% 16.9
3-15 18.6% 18.6
2-16 16.2% 16.2
1-17 10.8% 10.8
0-18 4.0% 4.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%