Seattle
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#249
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#325
Pace71.7#128
Improvement+1.1#43

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#280
First Shot-5.2#311
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#87
Layup/Dunks-6.3#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#324
Freethrows+2.3#70
Improvement+1.5#17

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#204
First Shot-1.4#203
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#171
Layups/Dunks+2.4#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#131
Freethrows-3.4#309
Improvement-0.5#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 10.3% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 31.5% 50.9% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 72.9% 56.3%
Conference Champion 5.4% 7.5% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.1% 1.7%
First Four2.9% 0.1% 3.1%
First Round5.0% 10.3% 4.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 141   @ Washington St. L 54-85 20%     0 - 1 -26.7 -18.4 -7.6
  Nov 09, 2019 202   Eastern Washington L 66-74 53%     0 - 2 -13.3 -16.4 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2019 59   @ Syracuse L 67-89 7%     0 - 3 -10.1 -0.1 -9.1
  Nov 19, 2019 46   @ Mississippi L 62-80 4%    
  Nov 25, 2019 151   Bucknell L 71-76 30%    
  Nov 30, 2019 336   Idaho W 73-63 83%    
  Dec 03, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 75-62 90%    
  Dec 07, 2019 247   Portland W 71-68 60%    
  Dec 17, 2019 58   @ Washington L 57-74 7%    
  Dec 21, 2019 342   Florida A&M W 74-62 85%    
  Dec 23, 2019 253   Long Beach St. W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 28, 2019 36   @ St. Mary's L 56-75 5%    
  Jan 02, 2020 266   @ UMKC L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 04, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 81-68 87%    
  Jan 11, 2020 233   Utah Valley W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 16, 2020 283   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 18, 2020 94   New Mexico St. L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 23, 2020 170   @ Grand Canyon L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 25, 2020 221   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 01, 2020 222   California Baptist W 76-74 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 233   @ Utah Valley L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 13, 2020 94   @ New Mexico St. L 63-76 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 283   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 20, 2020 170   Grand Canyon L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 22, 2020 221   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-67 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 222   @ California Baptist L 73-77 35%    
  Mar 05, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 84-65 95%    
  Mar 07, 2020 266   UMKC W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.3 2.7 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.6 5.1 3.2 0.4 12.6 3rd
4th 0.4 5.1 7.9 3.1 0.1 16.5 4th
5th 0.9 4.3 6.7 2.0 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 1.2 4.2 7.4 2.5 0.2 15.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.9 4.6 2.1 0.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.0 2.8 1.3 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.3 8.9 11.1 14.2 14.7 14.0 11.2 8.3 4.9 2.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
14-2 96.3% 0.8    0.7 0.1
13-3 56.5% 1.6    0.9 0.5 0.2
12-4 39.8% 2.0    0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
11-5 6.6% 0.5    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-6 1.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 75.7% 75.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
14-2 0.8% 35.4% 35.4% 14.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5
13-3 2.8% 17.3% 17.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.3
12-4 4.9% 19.6% 19.6% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 3.9
11-5 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 7.5
10-6 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 15.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 10.0
9-7 14.0% 8.6% 8.6% 15.9 0.1 1.1 12.8
8-8 14.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.1 0.7 14.0
7-9 14.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.9
6-10 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-11 8.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.7
4-12 5.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.2
3-13 2.5% 2.5
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.8 4.1 93.6 0.0%