Seattle
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#193
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#244
Pace70.7#138
Improvement+5.9#6

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#209
First Shot-2.5#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#81
Layup/Dunks-3.8#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows+0.6#127
Improvement+5.8#6

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#196
First Shot-0.7#180
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#200
Layups/Dunks+0.9#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#42
Freethrows-3.5#333
Improvement+0.1#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 11.7% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 47.2% 60.5% 28.2%
.500 or above in Conference 86.2% 94.2% 74.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.4% 5.3% 5.4%
First Round8.4% 9.7% 6.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Home) - 58.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 414 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 129   @ Washington St. L 54-85 24%     0 - 1 -25.8 -16.8 -8.3
  Nov 09, 2019 175   Eastern Washington L 66-74 56%     0 - 2 -11.6 -16.7 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2019 49   @ Syracuse L 67-89 9%     0 - 3 -9.0 -3.7 -4.4
  Nov 19, 2019 102   @ Mississippi L 52-65 18%     0 - 4 -5.3 -12.2 +5.8
  Nov 25, 2019 213   Bucknell L 70-77 55%     0 - 5 -10.3 -3.4 -7.0
  Nov 26, 2019 233   Western Michigan W 59-55 58%     1 - 5 +0.0 -10.8 +11.2
  Nov 30, 2019 321   Idaho W 74-55 84%     2 - 5 +6.4 -5.8 +11.4
  Dec 03, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 81-60 95%     3 - 5 +0.7 -1.1 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2019 280   Portland W 73-71 76%     4 - 5 -7.5 -4.4 -3.1
  Dec 17, 2019 52   @ Washington L 59-81 9%     4 - 6 -9.2 -2.2 -8.0
  Dec 21, 2019 313   Florida A&M L 57-71 82%     4 - 7 -25.8 -19.8 -6.0
  Dec 23, 2019 297   Long Beach St. W 79-57 79%     5 - 7 +11.4 -5.8 +15.0
  Dec 28, 2019 37   @ St. Mary's L 58-84 7%     5 - 8 -11.6 -6.4 -6.5
  Jan 02, 2020 225   @ UMKC L 86-90 3OT 45%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -4.9 -6.6 +2.6
  Jan 04, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 86-54 93%     6 - 9 1 - 1 +13.3 -4.5 +15.1
  Jan 11, 2020 261   Utah Valley W 83-50 73%     7 - 9 2 - 1 +24.6 +9.3 +15.9
  Jan 16, 2020 253   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-74 72%     8 - 9 3 - 1 +8.9 +12.1 -3.7
  Jan 18, 2020 96   New Mexico St. L 67-75 34%     8 - 10 3 - 2 -5.7 -0.2 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2020 226   @ Grand Canyon L 77-80 45%     8 - 11 3 - 3 -3.9 -3.5 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2020 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 86-79 47%     9 - 11 4 - 3 +5.8 +11.3 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2020 190   California Baptist W 74-72 59%    
  Feb 08, 2020 261   @ Utah Valley W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 13, 2020 96   @ New Mexico St. L 62-72 16%    
  Feb 15, 2020 253   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 20, 2020 226   Grand Canyon W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 22, 2020 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 29, 2020 190   @ California Baptist L 72-75 37%    
  Mar 05, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 85-63 98%    
  Mar 07, 2020 225   UMKC W 71-66 67%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 3.1 13.1 11.3 3.9 0.3 31.7 2nd
3rd 1.2 13.5 9.0 1.2 24.9 3rd
4th 0.2 8.4 7.8 0.7 17.1 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 8.6 1.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.5 5.0 1.6 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.5 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.2 1.6 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 3.1 10.3 19.9 25.4 22.9 12.9 4.5 0.6 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 47.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1
12-4 13.9% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.1
11-5 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.6% 21.8% 21.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-4 4.5% 20.4% 20.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.6
11-5 12.9% 16.3% 16.3% 15.7 0.6 1.5 10.8
10-6 22.9% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.4 2.3 20.2
9-7 25.4% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.1 2.3 23.1
8-8 19.9% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.5 18.4
7-9 10.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 9.9
6-10 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.2 2.9
5-11 0.4% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-12 0.0% 0.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.7 8.5 89.7 0.0%