Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#274
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#309
Pace62.9#326
Improvement-1.4#240

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#258
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#259
Layup/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#281
Freethrows-1.5#284
Improvement-0.8#229

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#280
First Shot-2.8#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#247
Layups/Dunks+1.3#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#241
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement-0.6#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 16.0 15.5
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 72.4% 51.5% 75.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 102 - 16
Quad 45 - 57 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 305   Alcorn St. W 73-72 OT 69%     1 - 0 -10.5 -8.5 -2.0
  Nov 11, 2019 131   @ Texas A&M L 57-63 14%     1 - 1 -1.0 -7.6 +6.3
  Nov 14, 2019 41   @ Mississippi St. L 45-62 4%     1 - 2 -3.2 -17.8 +12.8
  Nov 26, 2019 330   Northwestern St. W 77-69 75%     2 - 2 -5.6 +1.2 -6.6
  Dec 10, 2019 319   Grambling St. L 61-66 72%     2 - 3 -17.5 -10.8 -7.1
  Dec 14, 2019 138   @ Stephen F. Austin L 59-66 15%     2 - 4 -2.3 -2.8 -0.4
  Dec 19, 2019 140   Arkansas Little Rock L 72-73 31%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -2.3 +0.7 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2019 197   Arkansas St. L 59-62 45%     2 - 6 0 - 2 -8.2 -12.3 +3.8
  Dec 28, 2019 21   @ Butler L 36-67 3%     2 - 7 -14.8 -27.4 +11.8
  Jan 02, 2020 283   Troy W 79-63 62%     3 - 7 1 - 2 +6.4 +1.0 +5.2
  Jan 04, 2020 179   South Alabama W 69-49 39%     4 - 7 2 - 2 +16.3 +5.2 +14.8
  Jan 06, 2020 187   @ Coastal Carolina L 64-93 22%     4 - 8 2 - 3 -27.3 -12.0 -13.8
  Jan 09, 2020 147   @ Georgia Southern L 56-67 16%     4 - 9 2 - 4 -7.0 -7.6 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2020 108   @ Georgia St. L 62-84 10%     4 - 10 2 - 5 -14.7 -3.9 -12.1
  Jan 16, 2020 134   Texas St. L 63-64 30%     4 - 11 2 - 6 -2.0 -0.3 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2020 114   Texas Arlington L 58-78 25%     4 - 12 2 - 7 -19.5 -9.8 -11.0
  Jan 25, 2020 246   @ Louisiana L 60-81 33%     4 - 13 2 - 8 -23.0 -16.8 -5.2
  Jan 30, 2020 134   @ Texas St. L 58-69 14%    
  Feb 01, 2020 114   @ Texas Arlington L 60-73 12%    
  Feb 06, 2020 147   Georgia Southern L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 08, 2020 108   Georgia St. L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 13, 2020 283   @ Troy L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 15, 2020 179   @ South Alabama L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 19, 2020 197   @ Arkansas St. L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 22, 2020 246   Louisiana W 70-69 56%    
  Feb 27, 2020 140   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 61-72 15%    
  Mar 03, 2020 188   Appalachian St. L 65-67 43%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.4 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 6.1 4.6 0.6 13.0 10th
11th 0.3 3.7 11.8 8.6 1.3 0.0 25.6 11th
12th 4.9 15.0 21.1 11.0 2.0 0.0 54.0 12th
Total 4.9 15.3 24.8 24.5 17.2 8.8 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 0.0 0.1
9-11 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
8-12 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
7-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-14 17.2% 17.2
5-15 24.5% 24.5
4-16 24.8% 24.8
3-17 15.3% 15.3
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%