TCU
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#51
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#98
Pace71.3#135
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 8.2% 8.9% 2.3%
Top 6 Seed 16.4% 17.6% 5.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.1% 41.6% 17.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.1% 39.5% 16.5%
Average Seed 6.9 6.8 7.6
.500 or above 56.9% 60.0% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 33.4% 14.7%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.2% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 23.4% 22.0% 35.9%
First Four2.2% 2.3% 1.3%
First Round38.0% 40.4% 16.7%
Second Round22.2% 23.6% 8.9%
Sweet Sixteen9.2% 9.8% 3.0%
Elite Eight3.6% 3.9% 1.1%
Final Four1.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Home) - 90.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 24 - 38 - 14
Quad 34 - 112 - 15
Quad 44 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 240   Louisiana W 98-65 93%     1 - 0 +25.6 +13.0 +10.7
  Nov 18, 2019 178   Air Force W 78-65 90%    
  Nov 21, 2019 104   UC Irvine W 74-66 78%    
  Nov 24, 2019 79   Clemson W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 03, 2019 163   Illinois St. W 78-65 88%    
  Dec 06, 2019 60   USC W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 11, 2019 155   Winthrop W 83-71 86%    
  Dec 14, 2019 281   Lamar W 81-62 95%    
  Dec 22, 2019 27   Xavier L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 30, 2019 148   George Mason W 77-66 84%    
  Jan 04, 2020 41   Iowa St. W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 07, 2020 49   @ Kansas St. L 61-64 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 54   Oklahoma St. W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 14, 2020 47   @ West Virginia L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 18, 2020 31   @ Oklahoma L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 21, 2020 11   Texas Tech L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 25, 2020 30   @ Arkansas L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 29, 2020 21   Texas L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 01, 2020 16   @ Baylor L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 05, 2020 54   @ Oklahoma St. L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 4   Kansas L 71-78 28%    
  Feb 10, 2020 11   @ Texas Tech L 65-75 20%    
  Feb 15, 2020 49   Kansas St. W 64-61 59%    
  Feb 19, 2020 21   @ Texas L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 22, 2020 47   West Virginia W 82-80 58%    
  Feb 25, 2020 41   @ Iowa St. L 72-77 36%    
  Feb 29, 2020 16   Baylor L 75-77 42%    
  Mar 04, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 68-81 14%    
  Mar 07, 2020 31   Oklahoma L 73-74 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.7 0.3 7.7 4th
5th 0.4 2.7 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.9 5.3 2.2 0.2 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.5 2.5 0.2 12.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.6 5.6 2.6 0.4 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.0 5.2 2.3 0.4 15.2 9th
10th 0.6 2.0 3.8 4.9 3.3 1.4 0.2 16.1 10th
Total 0.6 2.1 4.2 6.9 9.3 10.8 11.7 11.7 11.2 9.3 7.2 5.7 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 59.5% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 30.8% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 8.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 22.8% 77.2% 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 24.4% 75.6% 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.6% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 3.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.4% 99.8% 10.9% 88.9% 4.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 5.7% 98.8% 7.9% 90.8% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.7%
10-8 7.2% 95.3% 5.0% 90.2% 7.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 95.0%
9-9 9.3% 84.3% 4.0% 80.3% 8.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.5 83.6%
8-10 11.2% 54.3% 2.3% 52.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.1 5.1 53.2%
7-11 11.7% 22.2% 0.9% 21.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 9.1 21.5%
6-12 11.7% 5.7% 0.4% 5.3% 9.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.1 5.3%
5-13 10.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.5%
4-14 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 6.9% 6.9
2-16 4.2% 4.2
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 39.1% 3.2% 36.0% 6.9 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.9 4.3 5.6 5.3 4.8 3.8 2.8 0.5 0.0 60.9 37.1%