North Dakota St.
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#121
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#114
Pace64.5#292
Improvement+4.9#22

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#95
First Shot+5.2#42
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#325
Layup/Dunks-2.4#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#16
Freethrows+2.3#28
Improvement+2.4#76

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#164
First Shot-1.9#246
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#13
Layups/Dunks-2.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#71
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement+2.5#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round10.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 27 - 6
Quad 416 - 223 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 79   @ Kansas St. L 54-67 27%     0 - 1 -3.4 -7.3 +2.9
  Nov 11, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 74-67 92%     1 - 1 -5.3 +1.8 -6.5
  Nov 15, 2019 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-70 78%     2 - 1 +1.3 -0.1 +1.3
  Nov 16, 2019 312   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 57-45 80%     3 - 1 +6.3 -6.1 +14.7
  Nov 17, 2019 196   Stony Brook L 57-64 69%     3 - 2 -8.8 -10.0 +0.7
  Nov 23, 2019 255   Utah Valley L 62-68 86%     3 - 3 -14.4 -12.0 -2.6
  Nov 26, 2019 324   @ Idaho W 70-53 84%     4 - 3 +9.6 -1.8 +12.2
  Dec 03, 2019 128   @ Indiana St. L 60-71 40%     4 - 4 -5.2 -7.1 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2019 65   East Tennessee St. W 78-68 43%     5 - 4 +15.1 +11.9 +3.7
  Dec 11, 2019 240   @ Cal St. Northridge W 71-62 67%     6 - 4 +7.7 -2.1 +10.6
  Dec 16, 2019 239   Montana St. W 79-65 84%     7 - 4 +6.7 +8.0 -0.7
  Dec 20, 2019 29   @ Marquette L 68-82 13%     7 - 5 +1.5 +0.2 +1.5
  Dec 29, 2019 311   @ Denver W 66-55 80%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +5.5 -8.3 +13.8
  Jan 02, 2020 334   Western Illinois W 94-74 94%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +5.1 +8.2 -3.7
  Jan 09, 2020 138   @ Oral Roberts L 73-79 44%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -1.1 +2.3 -3.6
  Jan 15, 2020 178   South Dakota W 72-70 74%     10 - 6 3 - 1 -1.6 +0.3 -1.7
  Jan 19, 2020 241   North Dakota W 83-74 84%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +1.6 +9.1 -7.1
  Jan 22, 2020 129   @ South Dakota St. L 73-78 41%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +0.7 +3.7 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2020 311   Denver W 82-70 91%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +0.5 +6.4 -5.6
  Jan 30, 2020 334   @ Western Illinois W 70-49 87%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +12.2 -11.8 +23.4
  Feb 01, 2020 265   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 71-60 72%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +8.1 +7.4 +2.0
  Feb 05, 2020 232   @ Nebraska Omaha W 86-78 66%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +7.1 +9.8 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2020 138   Oral Roberts W 83-76 67%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +5.9 +7.2 -1.2
  Feb 14, 2020 265   Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-70 87%     17 - 7 10 - 2 +1.0 +6.2 -5.0
  Feb 19, 2020 178   @ South Dakota W 77-74 53%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +5.4 -2.2 +7.5
  Feb 22, 2020 241   @ North Dakota L 68-71 67%     18 - 8 11 - 3 -4.4 -8.3 +4.0
  Feb 27, 2020 129   South Dakota St. W 71-69 OT 64%     19 - 8 12 - 3 +1.7 -9.1 +10.7
  Feb 29, 2020 232   Nebraska Omaha W 87-67 83%     20 - 8 13 - 3 +13.1 +7.4 +5.4
  Mar 07, 2020 311   Denver W 71-69 86%     21 - 8 -6.5 -2.0 -4.4
  Mar 09, 2020 138   Oral Roberts W 75-69 55%     22 - 8 +7.9 +0.7 +7.3
  Mar 10, 2020 241   North Dakota W 89-53 77%     23 - 8 +31.6 +20.8 +14.2
Projected Record 23 - 8 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.0 2.2 23.0 67.0 7.9
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 2.2 23.0 67.0 7.9