North Dakota St.
Summit League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#170
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#183
Pace64.2#310
Improvement+0.2#152

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#153
First Shot+3.8#76
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#313
Layup/Dunks-2.7#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#44
Freethrows+2.3#65
Improvement-1.0#306

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#200
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#89
Layups/Dunks+1.3#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#299
Freethrows+3.5#28
Improvement+1.2#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.8% 21.9% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 79.1% 85.6% 66.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.4% 86.4% 77.6%
Conference Champion 26.4% 30.0% 19.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.5% 3.1%
First Four1.8% 1.5% 2.6%
First Round19.0% 21.2% 14.6%
Second Round1.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 58   @ Kansas St. L 54-67 12%     0 - 1 -0.9 -4.2 +2.3
  Nov 11, 2019 314   Cal Poly W 74-67 88%     1 - 1 -5.9 +0.1 -5.4
  Nov 15, 2019 282   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-70 72%     2 - 1 -0.6 +0.6 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2019 299   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 57-45 68%     3 - 1 +6.8 -5.8 +14.9
  Nov 17, 2019 178   Stony Brook L 57-64 52%     3 - 2 -7.8 -10.1 +1.8
  Nov 23, 2019 196   Utah Valley W 71-67 66%    
  Nov 26, 2019 334   @ Idaho W 71-62 79%    
  Dec 03, 2019 165   @ Indiana St. L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 07, 2019 72   East Tennessee St. L 66-71 34%    
  Dec 11, 2019 294   @ Cal St. Northridge W 77-73 64%    
  Dec 16, 2019 211   Montana St. W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 20, 2019 26   @ Marquette L 62-78 7%    
  Dec 29, 2019 293   @ Denver W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 02, 2020 313   Western Illinois W 77-65 87%    
  Jan 09, 2020 181   @ Oral Roberts L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 15, 2020 149   South Dakota W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 288   North Dakota W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 22, 2020 229   @ South Dakota St. W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 293   Denver W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 30, 2020 313   @ Western Illinois W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 01, 2020 238   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 05, 2020 208   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 08, 2020 181   Oral Roberts W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 14, 2020 238   Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 19, 2020 149   @ South Dakota L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 288   @ North Dakota W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 27, 2020 229   South Dakota St. W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 29, 2020 208   Nebraska Omaha W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.3 7.1 7.2 5.4 2.2 0.6 26.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.3 7.4 5.4 1.8 0.1 20.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.7 7.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.9 2.6 0.2 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.4 1.5 0.2 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 1.0 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.6 4.7 7.4 10.3 13.0 16.0 14.1 12.8 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.6 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.2    2.2 0.1
14-2 97.6% 5.4    4.8 0.5
13-3 80.4% 7.2    5.3 1.8 0.1
12-4 55.4% 7.1    3.6 2.8 0.7 0.0
11-5 23.4% 3.3    0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 26.4% 26.4 17.2 7.0 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 59.1% 58.8% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7%
15-1 2.2% 46.0% 46.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2
14-2 5.5% 43.8% 43.8% 13.8 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.1
13-3 9.0% 33.3% 33.3% 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.2 6.0
12-4 12.8% 28.8% 28.8% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 0.4 9.1
11-5 14.1% 23.5% 23.5% 15.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.8 10.8
10-6 16.0% 17.9% 17.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 13.1
9-7 13.0% 12.1% 12.1% 15.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.4
8-8 10.3% 7.5% 7.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.5
7-9 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.9
6-10 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.4
5-11 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-12 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-13 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.8% 19.8% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.7 7.4 5.0 80.2 0.0%