Northeast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
169 Bryant 35.0%   15   9 - 3 6 - 2 13 - 5 10 - 4 -0.7      +0.4 157 -1.1 205 86.4 2 +3.3 126 -1.6 2
220 LIU Brooklyn 16.5%   4 - 2 4 - 2 9 - 4 9 - 4 -4.0      -3.0 253 -0.9 199 78.7 27 -3.0 200 -3.0 3
230 Mount St. Mary's 16.8%   6 - 5 5 - 2 12 - 10 11 - 7 -4.6      -4.4 284 -0.1 174 59.6 346 -3.6 212 -3.9 5
252 St. Francis (PA) 11.4%   3 - 8 2 - 5 10 - 12 9 - 9 -5.7      -2.8 243 -2.9 252 72.0 119 -6.5 264 -8.3 7
261 Robert Morris 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 5 - 12 0 - 0 -6.1      -1.2 196 -5.0 304 66.4 257 -9.5 297 0.0 1
285 St. Francis Brooklyn 7.7%   4 - 3 4 - 2 10 - 8 10 - 7 -7.7      -4.1 275 -3.6 270 78.3 28 -5.1 238 -3.4 4
288 Wagner 6.1%   2 - 5 2 - 4 8 - 10 8 - 9 -7.9      -2.8 244 -5.0 305 63.0 320 -10.6 308 -10.5 9
302 Merrimack 0.0%   3 - 3 3 - 3 8 - 10 8 - 10 -8.9      -6.9 322 -2.0 224 64.6 293 -9.3 293 -9.3 8
307 Sacred Heart 4.0%   5 - 5 5 - 4 9 - 10 9 - 9 -9.4      -4.6 290 -4.8 299 70.4 160 -6.3 260 -6.3 6
311 Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0%   2 - 8 1 - 3 5 - 14 4 - 9 -10.0      -2.7 241 -7.3 332 74.9 54 -14.3 329 -18.2 11
333 Central Connecticut St. 0.6%   2 - 10 2 - 7 5 - 16 5 - 13 -13.5      -6.8 321 -6.7 329 72.3 106 -14.0 325 -13.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Bryant 2.7 25.9 28.5 21.1 12.1 6.6 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 4.6 4.5 10.2 15.0 19.5 19.8 14.9 10.0 4.9 1.1 0.1
Mount St. Mary's 2.1 55.4 17.5 10.5 6.5 4.5 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 4.2 12.3 16.1 15.6 15.2 12.7 10.2 8.5 6.2 2.2 1.0
Robert Morris 11.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 3.8 19.3 19.0 14.1 11.9 10.2 9.0 8.3 6.1 1.7 0.3
Wagner 5.8 5.0 6.6 8.2 10.0 11.5 13.2 15.5 17.1 8.5 4.3
Merrimack 5.4 7.4 10.2 9.6 10.5 11.0 12.3 14.0 15.9 6.8 2.4
Sacred Heart 4.8 7.6 10.0 12.1 14.3 16.4 16.9 14.0 6.5 2.0 0.4
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.5 6.4 14.2 33.8 38.9
Central Connecticut St. 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.1 7.5 17.8 37.1 29.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bryant 10 - 8 0.3 1.9 7.1 17.0 27.9 29.5 16.4
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 9 0.1 1.1 4.9 13.3 24.2 28.9 20.3 7.2
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.9 10.1 15.9 19.4 20.2 15.5 8.2 3.0 0.6
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.8 11.2 16.8 20.8 19.7 13.8 6.9 1.8
Robert Morris 0 - 18 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 10 - 8 0.4 1.9 5.1 9.8 14.7 17.9 17.7 14.8 10.0 5.3 2.1 0.4
Wagner 8 - 10 0.3 1.8 4.7 9.6 14.5 18.4 17.8 15.3 10.2 5.3 1.8 0.4
Merrimack 8 - 10 0.8 3.6 8.0 13.0 16.7 17.5 15.7 11.7 7.3 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 2.2 8.6 17.2 22.7 21.9 15.4 8.0 3.0 0.8 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 4 - 14 3.1 10.0 18.3 22.0 20.3 14.5 7.8 3.1 0.8 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 5 - 13 5.7 16.2 24.5 24.0 17.0 8.5 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bryant 25.9% 10.4 9.9 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 4.5% 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 55.4% 38.2 12.1 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 12.3% 4.6 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris
St. Francis Brooklyn 19.3% 9.8 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Wagner 5.0% 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 7.4% 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 7.6% 3.1 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bryant 35.0% 35.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.1 2.0 8.5 14.0 9.1 1.3 65.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 3.0 6.4 5.7 83.5 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.5 7.7 83.2 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.3 7.1 88.6 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.2 92.3 0.0%
Wagner 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.0 93.9 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.7 96.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bryant 35.0% 0.2% 34.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 16.5% 2.4% 15.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 16.8% 3.7% 14.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 11.4% 4.7% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.7% 3.3% 5.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 6.1% 3.8% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 4.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.2% 0.9 13.8 86.2
2nd Round 2.8% 0.0 97.2 2.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0