Bryant
Northeast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#172
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#125
Pace86.4#2
Improvement-2.2#291

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot-0.1#177
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#145
Layup/Dunks-3.7#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#44
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement-3.1#329

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#201
First Shot+1.3#129
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#314
Layups/Dunks-3.3#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#54
Freethrows+1.0#126
Improvement+0.9#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.4% 37.2% 30.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.4%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 95.8% 77.1%
Conference Champion 25.8% 32.4% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round35.3% 37.2% 29.6%
Second Round2.2% 2.5% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 34 - 35 - 4
Quad 410 - 115 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 36   @ Syracuse L 84-85 10%     0 - 1 +12.6 +0.5 +12.3
  Dec 01, 2020 211   @ New Hampshire W 93-85 55%     1 - 1 +6.1 +6.0 -1.1
  Dec 08, 2020 286   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 101-82 69%     2 - 1 1 - 0 +13.2 +6.2 +3.4
  Dec 09, 2020 286   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 91-93 69%     2 - 2 1 - 1 -7.8 +3.5 -11.1
  Dec 12, 2020 257   Stony Brook W 81-72 75%     3 - 2 +1.2 +0.6 +0.0
  Dec 16, 2020 291   Wagner W 74-62 81%     4 - 2 2 - 1 +2.2 -0.9 +3.8
  Dec 17, 2020 291   Wagner W 81-75 81%     5 - 2 3 - 1 -3.8 -3.1 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2020 99   @ Massachusetts W 93-88 23%     6 - 2 +11.9 +7.6 +3.6
  Jan 07, 2021 334   Central Connecticut St. W 93-68 91%     7 - 2 4 - 1 +9.7 -1.7 +7.5
  Jan 08, 2021 334   Central Connecticut St. W 76-64 91%     8 - 2 5 - 1 -3.3 -7.3 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2021 254   @ St. Francis (PA) L 82-89 62%     8 - 3 5 - 2 -10.8 -7.8 -1.7
  Jan 15, 2021 254   @ St. Francis (PA) W 72-63 62%     9 - 3 6 - 2 +5.2 -3.3 +8.4
  Feb 04, 2021 229   Mount St. Mary's W 73-67 75%    
  Feb 05, 2021 229   Mount St. Mary's W 73-67 74%    
  Feb 11, 2021 306   @ Sacred Heart W 83-76 71%    
  Feb 12, 2021 306   @ Sacred Heart W 83-76 70%    
  Feb 17, 2021 302   @ Merrimack W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 20, 2021 302   @ Merrimack W 76-70 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 5 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.6 11.4 12.8 25.8 1st
2nd 0.7 10.2 14.4 3.3 28.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.4 12.8 3.6 0.3 21.3 3rd
4th 0.9 7.3 3.7 0.2 12.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 3.7 0.2 6.4 5th
6th 0.6 2.4 0.6 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 1.7 6.8 16.7 28.5 29.6 16.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 77.9% 12.8    7.9 4.3 0.6 0.0
11-7 38.6% 11.4    2.3 5.4 3.0 0.6 0.1
10-8 5.6% 1.6    0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.8% 25.8 10.2 9.9 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 16.4% 48.7% 48.7% 13.0 0.1 1.7 4.6 1.6 0.1 8.4
11-7 29.6% 39.0% 39.0% 13.9 0.2 3.4 5.9 2.0 0.0 18.0
10-8 28.5% 34.4% 34.4% 14.3 1.0 4.9 3.7 0.2 18.7
9-9 16.7% 26.1% 26.1% 14.7 0.1 1.3 2.6 0.3 12.4
8-10 6.8% 20.4% 20.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.4 5.4
7-11 1.7% 18.3% 18.3% 15.4 0.2 0.1 1.4
6-12 0.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.4% 35.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 1.8 9.1 13.8 9.5 1.1 64.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.0% 100.0% 13.0 0.8 20.9 57.6 19.8 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.5%
Lose Out 0.2%