Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#310
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#303
Pace59.2#342
Improvement-3.6#309

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#274
First Shot+0.4#166
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#345
Layup/Dunks+1.3#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#96
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement-0.3#189

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#307
First Shot-4.4#302
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#270
Layups/Dunks-2.8#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#265
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-3.3#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 15.3% 15.3%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 21 - 31 - 10
Quad 30 - 31 - 13
Quad 44 - 75 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 282   Cal St. Northridge W 66-61 42%     1 - 0 -2.9 -8.1 +5.6
  Nov 29, 2020 222   Seattle L 45-63 29%     1 - 1 -22.2 -18.8 -7.6
  Dec 05, 2020 306   Lamar W 59-44 55%     2 - 1 +3.8 -9.3 +15.0
  Dec 13, 2020 65   @ Drake L 53-81 4%     2 - 2 -17.6 -14.3 -5.1
  Dec 18, 2020 87   @ Nevada L 57-74 5%     2 - 3 0 - 1 -8.5 -13.0 +4.4
  Dec 20, 2020 87   @ Nevada W 68-66 5%     3 - 3 1 - 1 +10.5 -1.5 +12.1
  Dec 31, 2020 41   Utah St. L 48-83 5%     3 - 4 1 - 2 -25.7 -11.5 -18.3
  Jan 02, 2021 41   Utah St. L 53-72 5%     3 - 5 1 - 3 -9.7 -7.2 -4.2
  Jan 06, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 59-78 4%     3 - 6 1 - 4 -8.0 -7.6 -0.6
  Jan 08, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 69-80 4%     3 - 7 1 - 5 +0.0 +12.3 -14.0
  Jan 16, 2021 149   Wyoming W 72-69 20%     4 - 7 2 - 5 +2.0 +2.7 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2021 149   Wyoming L 58-77 20%     4 - 8 2 - 6 -20.0 -12.8 -9.4
  Jan 22, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 61-98 3%     4 - 9 2 - 7 -25.1 -5.9 -18.3
  Jan 24, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 59-91 3%     4 - 10 2 - 8 -20.1 -1.4 -21.3
  Jan 28, 2021 320   San Jose St. L 58-59 57%     4 - 11 2 - 9 -12.8 -13.2 +0.2
  Jan 30, 2021 320   San Jose St. L 62-75 57%     4 - 12 2 - 10 -24.8 -14.0 -11.7
  Feb 06, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 58-68 13%     4 - 13 2 - 11 -7.9 -2.1 -8.1
  Feb 08, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 64-69 13%     4 - 14 2 - 12 -2.9 +5.3 -9.4
  Feb 11, 2021 182   Fresno St. L 63-69 24%     4 - 15 2 - 13 -8.7 -2.4 -7.0
  Feb 13, 2021 182   Fresno St. L 64-67 24%     4 - 16 2 - 14 -5.7 -1.1 -5.0
  Feb 22, 2021 275   New Mexico L 65-73 48%     4 - 17 2 - 15 -17.5 -6.0 -12.0
  Feb 24, 2021 275   New Mexico W 62-55 48%     5 - 17 3 - 15 -2.5 -10.3 +8.0
  Feb 27, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 49-72 4%     5 - 18 3 - 16 -12.6 -12.4 -3.2
  Mar 01, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 44-74 4%     5 - 19 3 - 17 -19.6 -18.9 -3.9
  Mar 10, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 52-80 13%     5 - 20 -25.9 -19.5 -7.3
Projected Record 5 - 20 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17 100.0% 100.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%