Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#87
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#94
Pace73.6#81
Improvement+4.2#27

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#52
First Shot+6.1#36
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#225
Layup/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#67
Freethrows+3.0#12
Improvement+5.5#2

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#133
First Shot+0.8#134
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#125
Layups/Dunks+4.1#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#242
Freethrows-3.5#339
Improvement-1.3#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 5
Quad 24 - 15 - 6
Quad 32 - 37 - 9
Quad 48 - 115 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 153   North Dakota St. W 62-48 72%     1 - 0 +14.7 -10.2 +25.0
  Nov 26, 2020 101   @ Nebraska W 69-66 48%     2 - 0 +10.1 -0.4 +10.4
  Nov 30, 2020 123   Pacific W 70-58 70%     3 - 0 +13.1 +1.5 +12.1
  Dec 02, 2020 104   San Francisco L 60-85 64%     3 - 1 -22.0 -13.8 -7.2
  Dec 11, 2020 112   @ Grand Canyon L 77-87 52%     3 - 2 -4.0 +10.0 -14.2
  Dec 14, 2020 211   @ San Diego W 79-72 78%     4 - 2 +5.5 +0.3 +4.4
  Dec 18, 2020 310   Air Force W 74-57 95%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +5.1 -4.6 +9.9
  Dec 20, 2020 310   Air Force L 66-68 95%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -13.9 -12.3 -1.7
  Dec 31, 2020 275   New Mexico W 68-54 90%     6 - 3 2 - 1 +6.4 -7.7 +13.6
  Jan 02, 2021 275   New Mexico W 84-74 90%     7 - 3 3 - 1 +2.4 +20.0 -16.4
  Jan 07, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 60-65 19%     7 - 4 3 - 2 +10.7 +0.4 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 67-69 19%     7 - 5 3 - 3 +13.7 +8.3 +5.2
  Jan 15, 2021 182   Fresno St. W 73-57 81%     8 - 5 4 - 3 +13.3 +4.9 +9.6
  Jan 17, 2021 182   Fresno St. W 79-65 81%     9 - 5 5 - 3 +11.3 +4.5 +6.7
  Jan 22, 2021 149   @ Wyoming L 64-71 65%     9 - 6 5 - 4 -4.2 -14.1 +10.2
  Jan 24, 2021 149   @ Wyoming L 88-93 65%     9 - 7 5 - 5 -2.2 +6.5 -8.3
  Jan 31, 2021 166   UNLV W 89-60 79%     10 - 7 6 - 5 +27.3 +16.5 +11.5
  Feb 02, 2021 166   UNLV W 72-62 79%     11 - 7 7 - 5 +8.3 +3.4 +5.7
  Feb 05, 2021 62   Boise St. W 74-72 48%     12 - 7 8 - 5 +9.2 +7.8 +1.5
  Feb 07, 2021 62   Boise St. W 73-62 48%     13 - 7 9 - 5 +18.2 -2.2 +19.5
  Feb 26, 2021 41   @ Utah St. L 72-75 27%     13 - 8 9 - 6 +10.1 +8.6 +1.5
  Feb 28, 2021 41   @ Utah St. L 66-87 27%     13 - 9 9 - 7 -7.9 -2.3 -3.9
  Mar 05, 2021 66   Colorado St. W 85-82 50%     14 - 9 10 - 7 +9.6 +16.3 -6.7
  Mar 11, 2021 62   Boise St. W 89-82 41%     15 - 9 +16.1 +16.4 -0.6
  Mar 12, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 70-77 25%     15 - 10 +6.8 +4.9 +2.0
Projected Record 15 - 10 10 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7 0.0%
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%