Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#62
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#60
Pace70.9#127
Improvement-6.0#335

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#68
First Shot+3.9#74
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#120
Layup/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#214
Freethrows+1.9#52
Improvement-2.2#288

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#64
First Shot+2.7#88
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#51
Layups/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#52
Freethrows+0.6#133
Improvement-3.8#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.8% n/a n/a
First Round26.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 4
Quad 22 - 34 - 7
Quad 34 - 08 - 7
Quad 49 - 117 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 6   @ Houston L 58-68 14%     0 - 1 +10.9 -6.5 +17.4
  Nov 29, 2020 180   Sam Houston St. W 86-55 82%     1 - 1 +30.3 +9.4 +19.4
  Dec 09, 2020 24   @ BYU W 74-70 25%     2 - 1 +20.2 +7.2 +13.0
  Dec 13, 2020 125   Weber St. W 70-59 79%     3 - 1 +11.8 -3.9 +15.8
  Dec 21, 2020 275   New Mexico W 77-53 95%     4 - 1 1 - 0 +14.5 +6.8 +9.1
  Dec 23, 2020 275   New Mexico W 89-52 95%     5 - 1 2 - 0 +27.5 +13.6 +13.5
  Dec 31, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 106-54 96%     6 - 1 3 - 0 +40.2 +10.1 +22.3
  Jan 02, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 87-86 96%     7 - 1 4 - 0 -10.8 +2.5 -13.4
  Jan 06, 2021 310   Air Force W 78-59 96%     8 - 1 5 - 0 +7.1 -0.3 +7.6
  Jan 08, 2021 310   Air Force W 80-69 96%     9 - 1 6 - 0 -0.9 +13.1 -12.3
  Jan 11, 2021 149   @ Wyoming W 83-60 73%     10 - 1 7 - 0 +25.8 +13.0 +14.3
  Jan 13, 2021 149   @ Wyoming W 90-70 73%     11 - 1 8 - 0 +22.8 +9.9 +11.9
  Jan 20, 2021 182   Fresno St. W 73-51 86%     12 - 1 9 - 0 +19.3 +2.1 +18.0
  Jan 27, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 56-78 45%     12 - 2 9 - 1 -11.6 -11.5 -0.2
  Jan 29, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. W 85-77 45%     13 - 2 10 - 1 +18.4 +12.8 +5.1
  Feb 05, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 72-74 52%     13 - 3 10 - 2 +6.5 +4.4 +2.0
  Feb 07, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 62-73 52%     13 - 4 10 - 3 -2.5 -13.6 +12.0
  Feb 11, 2021 166   UNLV W 78-66 84%     14 - 4 11 - 3 +10.3 +11.3 +0.3
  Feb 13, 2021 166   UNLV W 61-59 84%     15 - 4 12 - 3 +0.3 -7.0 +7.5
  Feb 17, 2021 41   Utah St. W 79-70 49%     16 - 4 13 - 3 +18.3 +11.1 +6.8
  Feb 19, 2021 41   Utah St. W 81-77 49%     17 - 4 14 - 3 +13.3 +15.6 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 66-78 OT 26%     17 - 5 14 - 4 +3.7 -4.1 +9.1
  Feb 27, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 58-62 26%     17 - 6 14 - 5 +11.7 -4.3 +15.9
  Mar 02, 2021 182   Fresno St. L 64-67 86%     17 - 7 14 - 6 -5.7 -5.2 -0.7
  Mar 11, 2021 87   Nevada L 82-89 59%     17 - 8 -0.4 +6.5 -6.5
Projected Record 17 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 38.7% 38.7% 11.2 0.1 4.3 22.7 11.5 0.1 61.3 38.7%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 38.7% 0.0% 38.7% 11.2 0.1 4.3 22.7 11.5 0.1 61.3 38.7%