Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.8#4
Expected Predictive Rating+20.5#3
Pace66.6#239
Improvement+0.1#171

Offense
Total Offense+11.2#8
First Shot+8.8#9
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#36
Layup/Dunks+4.1#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#94
Freethrows+1.3#88
Improvement+0.5#154

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#10
First Shot+6.9#14
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#55
Layups/Dunks+4.7#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#29
Freethrows+2.2#35
Improvement-0.3#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 16.8% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 74.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen73.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight53.2% n/a n/a
Final Four33.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game16.9% n/a n/a
National Champion7.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 25 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 18 - 3
Quad 26 - 114 - 4
Quad 34 - 018 - 4
Quad 42 - 020 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 132   Bowling Green W 96-82 95%     1 - 0 +14.4 +17.0 -3.3
  Nov 29, 2020 223   Oakland W 81-71 OT 98%     2 - 0 +3.9 -9.9 +12.3
  Dec 02, 2020 154   Ball St. W 84-65 96%     3 - 0 +17.8 +6.5 +10.4
  Dec 06, 2020 99   Central Florida W 80-58 93%     4 - 0 +25.4 +15.0 +12.0
  Dec 09, 2020 75   Toledo W 91-71 90%     5 - 0 +25.9 +18.1 +8.1
  Dec 13, 2020 39   Penn St. W 62-58 83%     6 - 0 1 - 0 +13.6 -4.0 +17.8
  Dec 25, 2020 101   @ Nebraska W 80-69 88%     7 - 0 2 - 0 +18.1 +9.9 +7.7
  Dec 31, 2020 37   @ Maryland W 84-73 71%     8 - 0 3 - 0 +25.1 +22.6 +2.9
  Jan 03, 2021 74   Northwestern W 85-66 90%     9 - 0 4 - 0 +25.0 +16.1 +8.6
  Jan 06, 2021 63   Minnesota W 82-57 88%     10 - 0 5 - 0 +32.1 +15.5 +17.3
  Jan 12, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 77-54 75%     11 - 0 6 - 0 +35.8 +17.3 +20.3
  Jan 16, 2021 63   @ Minnesota L 57-75 80%     11 - 1 6 - 1 -7.1 -10.7 +3.8
  Jan 19, 2021 37   Maryland W 87-63 82%     12 - 1 7 - 1 +34.3 +20.4 +13.9
  Jan 22, 2021 14   @ Purdue W 70-53 62%     13 - 1 8 - 1 +33.8 +9.0 +25.7
  Feb 14, 2021 18   @ Wisconsin W 67-59 62%     14 - 1 9 - 1 +24.6 +11.6 +14.0
  Feb 18, 2021 36   Rutgers W 71-64 82%     15 - 1 10 - 1 +17.3 +10.2 +7.6
  Feb 21, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. W 92-87 54%     16 - 1 11 - 1 +23.7 +27.1 -3.2
  Feb 25, 2021 5   Iowa W 79-57 59%     17 - 1 12 - 1 +39.5 +13.9 +26.6
  Feb 27, 2021 44   @ Indiana W 73-57 75%     18 - 1 13 - 1 +28.6 +13.8 +16.3
  Mar 02, 2021 2   Illinois L 53-76 53%     18 - 2 13 - 2 -4.1 -10.2 +5.6
  Mar 04, 2021 54   Michigan St. W 69-50 86%     19 - 2 14 - 2 +27.0 +6.3 +21.9
  Mar 07, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. L 64-70 78%     19 - 3 14 - 3 +5.7 +4.5 +0.7
  Mar 12, 2021 37   Maryland W 79-66 77%     20 - 3 +25.2 +22.5 +4.2
  Mar 13, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 67-68 62%     20 - 4 +15.8 +7.0 +8.7
Projected Record 20 - 4 14 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 0.0%
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 74.7 25.2 0.1 100.0%
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 74.7 25.2 0.1 100.0%