Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#14
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#15
Pace65.3#267
Improvement+3.6#36

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#26
First Shot+6.0#38
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#70
Layup/Dunks+4.5#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
Freethrows+2.0#45
Improvement+1.9#71

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#24
First Shot+6.0#33
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#77
Layups/Dunks+4.6#29
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
Freethrows+2.4#25
Improvement+1.7#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 63.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round79.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen45.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.2% n/a n/a
Final Four6.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 16 - 7
Quad 27 - 113 - 8
Quad 33 - 116 - 9
Quad 42 - 018 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 113   Liberty W 77-64 85%     1 - 0 +16.9 +7.2 +10.2
  Nov 26, 2020 45   Clemson L 70-81 66%     1 - 1 -0.3 +1.2 -0.9
  Dec 01, 2020 223   Oakland W 93-50 96%     2 - 1 +36.9 +22.6 +18.0
  Dec 04, 2020 187   Valparaiso W 68-61 95%     3 - 1 +3.4 -2.8 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2020 121   @ Miami (FL) L 54-58 82%     3 - 2 +1.1 -12.7 +13.5
  Dec 12, 2020 118   Indiana St. W 80-68 89%     4 - 2 +13.5 +7.9 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2020 8   Ohio St. W 67-60 50%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +21.9 -0.2 +22.4
  Dec 19, 2020 84   Notre Dame W 88-78 77%     6 - 2 +17.1 +17.6 -0.1
  Dec 22, 2020 5   @ Iowa L 55-70 27%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +6.3 -7.0 +12.0
  Dec 25, 2020 37   Maryland W 73-70 67%     7 - 3 2 - 1 +13.3 +10.6 +2.8
  Dec 29, 2020 36   @ Rutgers L 76-81 53%     7 - 4 2 - 2 +9.1 +19.2 -10.6
  Jan 02, 2021 2   @ Illinois L 58-66 23%     7 - 5 2 - 3 +14.7 -3.6 +18.2
  Jan 08, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. W 55-54 62%     8 - 5 3 - 3 +12.7 -2.7 +15.6
  Jan 14, 2021 44   @ Indiana W 81-69 59%     9 - 5 4 - 3 +24.6 +14.7 +9.8
  Jan 17, 2021 39   Penn St. W 80-72 69%     10 - 5 5 - 3 +17.6 +6.8 +10.4
  Jan 19, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. W 67-65 36%     11 - 5 6 - 3 +20.7 +5.2 +15.7
  Jan 22, 2021 4   Michigan L 53-70 38%     11 - 6 6 - 4 +0.9 -9.4 +9.5
  Jan 30, 2021 63   Minnesota W 81-62 77%     12 - 6 7 - 4 +26.1 +21.4 +6.9
  Feb 02, 2021 37   @ Maryland L 60-61 53%     12 - 7 7 - 5 +13.1 +3.8 +9.1
  Feb 06, 2021 74   Northwestern W 75-70 80%     13 - 7 8 - 5 +11.0 +7.2 +3.8
  Feb 11, 2021 63   @ Minnesota L 68-71 65%     13 - 8 8 - 6 +7.9 +6.1 +1.6
  Feb 16, 2021 54   Michigan St. W 75-65 75%     14 - 8 9 - 6 +18.0 +11.7 +6.8
  Feb 20, 2021 101   @ Nebraska W 75-58 77%     15 - 8 10 - 6 +24.1 +6.5 +17.2
  Feb 26, 2021 39   @ Penn St. W 73-52 56%     16 - 8 11 - 6 +34.4 +7.1 +27.7
  Mar 02, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 73-69 58%     17 - 8 12 - 6 +16.8 +16.4 +0.9
  Mar 06, 2021 44   Indiana W 67-58 72%     18 - 8 13 - 6 +17.8 +3.4 +15.0
  Mar 12, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 78-87 OT 43%     18 - 9 +7.8 +7.1 +0.8
Projected Record 18 - 9 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 0.0%
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.9 24.5 38.2 30.2 5.9 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.9 24.5 38.2 30.2 5.9 0.3 0.0 100.0%