Pre-tourney Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#36
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#31
Pace67.8#206
Improvement-3.7#311

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#77
First Shot+4.0#73
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#134
Layup/Dunks+7.2#6
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#279
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement-4.2#335

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#16
First Shot+8.9#3
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#275
Layups/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#11
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round97.2% n/a n/a
Second Round44.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 11
Quad 32 - 012 - 11
Quad 43 - 015 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 304   Sacred Heart W 86-63 97%     1 - 0 +11.8 +2.2 +8.9
  Nov 27, 2020 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-75 97%     2 - 0 +11.7 +5.1 +4.4
  Nov 29, 2020 183   Hofstra W 70-56 92%     3 - 0 +10.9 -13.0 +22.9
  Dec 08, 2020 40   Syracuse W 79-69 61%     4 - 0 +19.3 +6.6 +12.5
  Dec 14, 2020 37   @ Maryland W 74-60 43%     5 - 0 1 - 0 +28.1 +12.3 +16.3
  Dec 20, 2020 2   Illinois W 91-88 26%     6 - 0 2 - 0 +21.9 +22.8 -1.0
  Dec 23, 2020 8   @ Ohio St. L 68-80 27%     6 - 1 2 - 1 +6.7 -1.5 +8.4
  Dec 29, 2020 14   Purdue W 81-76 47%     7 - 1 3 - 1 +18.0 +22.3 -3.8
  Jan 02, 2021 5   Iowa L 75-77 30%     7 - 2 3 - 2 +15.5 +5.5 +10.0
  Jan 05, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. L 45-68 52%     7 - 3 3 - 3 -11.3 -18.8 +6.7
  Jan 09, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 68-79 40%     7 - 4 3 - 4 +3.9 +1.6 +1.7
  Jan 15, 2021 18   Wisconsin L 54-60 48%     7 - 5 3 - 5 +6.8 -6.9 +13.1
  Jan 21, 2021 39   @ Penn St. L 67-75 45%     7 - 6 3 - 6 +5.4 -0.4 +5.8
  Jan 24, 2021 44   @ Indiana W 74-70 48%     8 - 6 4 - 6 +16.6 +12.4 +4.4
  Jan 28, 2021 54   Michigan St. W 67-37 66%     9 - 6 5 - 6 +38.0 +4.8 +35.4
  Jan 31, 2021 74   @ Northwestern W 64-56 59%     10 - 6 6 - 6 +17.8 -1.8 +19.6
  Feb 04, 2021 63   Minnesota W 76-72 69%     11 - 6 7 - 6 +11.1 +12.4 -1.0
  Feb 10, 2021 5   @ Iowa L 66-79 20%     11 - 7 7 - 7 +8.3 +4.2 +3.1
  Feb 13, 2021 74   Northwestern W 64-50 73%     12 - 7 8 - 7 +20.0 +1.8 +19.3
  Feb 18, 2021 4   @ Michigan L 64-71 18%     12 - 8 8 - 8 +14.7 +5.4 +8.8
  Feb 21, 2021 37   Maryland L 59-68 57%     12 - 9 8 - 9 +1.3 -5.1 +6.0
  Feb 24, 2021 44   Indiana W 74-63 63%     13 - 9 9 - 9 +19.8 +5.9 +13.9
  Mar 01, 2021 101   @ Nebraska L 51-72 69%     13 - 10 9 - 10 -13.9 -13.0 -2.0
  Mar 06, 2021 63   @ Minnesota W 77-70 OT 55%     14 - 10 10 - 10 +17.9 +2.9 +14.3
  Mar 11, 2021 44   Indiana W 61-50 56%     15 - 10 +21.7 +0.6 +22.3
  Mar 12, 2021 2   Illinois L 68-90 21%     15 - 11 -1.2 +1.8 -2.0
Projected Record 15 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 97.3% 97.3% 9.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 11.2 38.5 40.6 5.5 0.0 2.7 97.3%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 9.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 11.2 38.5 40.6 5.5 0.0 2.7 97.3%