IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.4	#126
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#117
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#135

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.2	#135

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.7%	1.0%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.4%	18.0%	10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.2%	3.0%	0.8%
Average Seed	12.2	11.9	13.0

.500 or above	68.1%	76.4%	52.0%
.500 or above in Conference	69.8%	75.1%	59.5%
Conference Champion	16.4%	19.5%	10.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	2.7%	6.5%

First Four	1.3%	1.5%	0.8%
First Round	14.7%	17.2%	10.0%
Second Round	3.2%	4.0%	1.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.9%	1.2%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Neutral) - 66.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 3	6 - 5	8 - 9
Quad 4	6 - 2	14 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	193	Middle Tennessee	W	78-73	66%
Dec 05, 2020	110	Marshall	W	82-81	55%
Dec 19, 2020	172	@ Kent St.	W	75-74	51%
Jan 02, 2021	116	Buffalo	W	82-80	57%
Jan 05, 2021	207	Central Michigan	W	86-77	78%
Jan 09, 2021	160	@ Eastern Michigan	L	68-69	48%
Jan 12, 2021	189	@ Northern Illinois	W	69-68	55%
Jan 16, 2021	137	Toledo	W	77-73	63%
Jan 19, 2021	146	@ Bowling Green	L	76-78	45%
Jan 23, 2021	238	@ Western Michigan	W	74-70	64%
Jan 26, 2021	160	Eastern Michigan	W	71-66	68%
Jan 30, 2021	130	Ball St.	W	72-69	62%
Feb 02, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	74-76	43%
Feb 06, 2021	172	Kent St.	W	77-71	69%
Feb 09, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	72-74	42%
Feb 13, 2021	179	@ Miami (OH)	W	73-72	51%
Feb 16, 2021	189	Northern Illinois	W	72-65	72%
Feb 20, 2021	130	@ Ball St.	L	69-72	42%
Feb 23, 2021	134	Ohio	W	75-71	62%
Feb 27, 2021	146	Bowling Green	W	79-75	64%
Mar 02, 2021	116	@ Buffalo	L	79-83	37%
Mar 05, 2021	179	Miami (OH)	W	75-69	70%
Projected Record						13 - 9	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.4	3.0	4.0	3.7	2.6	1.1	0.4		16.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	2.4	4.3	3.5	1.9	0.4	0.0				13.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.6	2.7	4.5	2.9	0.8	0.1						11.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.4	4.1	2.5	0.6	0.1							10.0	4th
5th										0.3	2.1	4.3	2.2	0.4	0.0								9.3	5th
6th									0.2	1.7	3.9	2.2	0.3	0.0									8.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.4	3.2	2.3	0.4	0.0										7.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.0	2.7	2.2	0.5	0.0											6.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.0	2.3	1.8	0.4	0.0												5.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.9	1.8	1.8	0.5	0.0													5.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.2	1.0	0.4	0.0														3.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0															2.4	12th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.7	2.7	4.1	5.6	6.6	7.9	9.1	9.9	9.9	10.2	9.3	7.3	6.0	4.1	2.6	1.1	0.4			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
19-1	100.0%	1.1		1.1	0.0
18-2	98.7%	2.6		2.4	0.2
17-3	90.4%	3.7		2.9	0.8	0.0
16-4	67.2%	4.0		2.7	1.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	40.6%	3.0		1.4	1.2	0.4	0.1
14-6	14.9%	1.4		0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	16.4%	16.4		11.1	4.0	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.4%		97.1%	75.4%	21.7%	4.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		88.4%
19-1	1.1%		92.3%	56.8%	35.6%	8.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.1		82.2%
18-2	2.6%		70.9%	49.4%	21.5%	10.3					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.1				0.8		42.6%
17-3	4.1%		54.0%	42.5%	11.5%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.9	0.4	0.0			1.9		20.0%
16-4	6.0%		36.0%	30.4%	5.6%	12.3								0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.8	0.1	0.0		3.8		8.0%
15-5	7.3%		28.6%	27.4%	1.3%	12.8											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.0		5.2		1.7%
14-6	9.3%		20.2%	20.1%	0.1%	13.2												0.0	0.3	0.9	0.6	0.1		7.4		0.1%
13-7	10.2%		15.3%	15.2%	0.0%	13.6													0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.0	8.6		0.0%
12-8	9.9%		9.7%	9.7%		14.0													0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	8.9
11-9	9.9%		5.5%	5.5%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0	9.4
10-10	9.1%		3.7%	3.7%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	8.8
9-11	7.9%		3.0%	3.0%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	7.7
8-12	6.6%		1.4%	1.4%		15.8																0.0	0.1	6.5
7-13	5.6%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	5.5
6-14	4.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
5-15	2.7%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
4-16	1.7%																							1.7
3-17	0.8%																							0.8
2-18	0.5%																							0.5
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		15.4%	13.4%	1.9%	12.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.3	3.3	4.1	2.5	1.1	0.4	84.6		2.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.2%	100.0%	3.7	11.8	16.8	16.4	21.4	18.6	11.4	3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	73.3%	5.1				33.3	3.3	33.3	3.3
Lose Out	0.0%