Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#201
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.2#327
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#80
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 13.2
.500 or above 19.6% 25.1% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.3% 17.1% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 23.3% 35.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 54 - 14
Quad 45 - 29 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 222   Iona W 67-63 66%    
  Dec 03, 2020 251   @ Manhattan L 58-59 50%    
  Dec 08, 2020 73   @ St. John's L 61-74 11%    
  Dec 12, 2020 328   Maine W 66-53 87%    
  Dec 19, 2020 332   Central Connecticut St. W 72-59 87%    
  Dec 22, 2020 224   Stony Brook W 64-60 65%    
  Dec 30, 2020 198   George Washington W 64-61 58%    
  Jan 02, 2021 157   @ La Salle L 61-67 30%    
  Jan 05, 2021 47   Dayton L 59-69 19%    
  Jan 09, 2021 90   @ Duquesne L 58-70 16%    
  Jan 13, 2021 85   St. Bonaventure L 59-65 31%    
  Jan 17, 2021 128   Massachusetts L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 20, 2021 81   @ Davidson L 56-69 14%    
  Jan 27, 2021 90   Duquesne L 61-67 32%    
  Jan 30, 2021 198   @ George Washington L 61-64 39%    
  Feb 03, 2021 128   @ Massachusetts L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 06, 2021 81   Davidson L 59-66 30%    
  Feb 10, 2021 123   @ George Mason L 59-67 24%    
  Feb 13, 2021 52   Saint Louis L 58-67 21%    
  Feb 15, 2021 99   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-68 18%    
  Feb 20, 2021 93   @ Rhode Island L 61-72 17%    
  Feb 23, 2021 53   @ Richmond L 58-73 10%    
  Feb 27, 2021 174   Saint Joseph's W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 03, 2021 157   La Salle W 65-64 51%    
Projected Record 9 - 15 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.0 1.2 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 5.5 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.3 5.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.6 12th
13th 0.4 2.9 6.1 4.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 14.7 13th
14th 2.0 5.3 6.3 3.6 1.0 0.1 18.2 14th
Total 2.0 5.7 9.3 12.2 13.3 13.1 12.3 10.0 7.8 5.1 3.8 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 84.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 38.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 83.1% 8.5% 74.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.5%
15-3 0.2% 65.6% 8.7% 56.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 62.4%
14-4 0.3% 24.1% 10.0% 14.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 15.6%
13-5 0.9% 13.8% 7.1% 6.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 7.3%
12-6 1.4% 7.9% 6.9% 1.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.1%
11-7 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
10-8 3.8% 1.5% 1.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 5.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1 0.2%
8-10 7.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 12.3% 12.3
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 13.3% 13.3
3-15 12.2% 12.2
2-16 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
1-17 5.7% 5.7
0-18 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.3 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%