Preseason Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#198
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 24.0% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.7 13.3 14.2
.500 or above 69.4% 82.1% 59.0%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 85.3% 72.4%
Conference Champion 26.0% 32.7% 20.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 1.8% 5.3%
First Four1.4% 1.1% 1.5%
First Round18.3% 23.4% 14.2%
Second Round2.3% 3.5% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 410 - 316 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 176   @ Monmouth L 77-78 45%    
  Nov 29, 2020 33   @ Rutgers L 64-78 10%    
  Nov 30, 2020 233   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-72 77%    
  Dec 05, 2020 222   Iona W 78-70 75%    
  Dec 09, 2020 224   Stony Brook W 76-68 75%    
  Dec 19, 2020 85   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-76 22%    
  Dec 22, 2020 53   @ Richmond L 69-81 14%    
  Jan 02, 2021 254   William & Mary W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 03, 2021 254   William & Mary W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 07, 2021 163   Northeastern W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 09, 2021 163   @ Northeastern L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 16, 2021 197   @ Delaware L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 17, 2021 197   @ Delaware L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 23, 2021 184   Towson W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 24, 2021 184   Towson W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 30, 2021 253   @ UNC Wilmington W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 31, 2021 253   @ UNC Wilmington W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 06, 2021 190   Drexel W 77-71 68%    
  Feb 07, 2021 190   Drexel W 77-71 68%    
  Feb 13, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 14, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 20, 2021 162   College of Charleston W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 21, 2021 162   College of Charleston W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 27, 2021 215   @ Elon W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 28, 2021 215   @ Elon W 73-71 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.1 5.9 6.3 4.7 2.7 0.9 26.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 5.7 3.1 1.1 0.1 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.1 4.3 1.6 0.2 13.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.8 3.6 5.5 7.0 9.3 9.9 11.2 11.3 11.4 9.3 7.4 4.8 2.7 0.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 2.7    2.7 0.0
16-2 98.0% 4.7    4.2 0.4
15-3 85.6% 6.3    5.0 1.4 0.0
14-4 64.0% 5.9    3.6 2.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 35.9% 4.1    1.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.5% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.0% 26.0 18.3 6.2 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 76.3% 64.5% 11.8% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 33.2%
17-1 2.7% 57.3% 50.7% 6.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 13.4%
16-2 4.8% 49.3% 46.6% 2.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 5.0%
15-3 7.4% 37.6% 37.4% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.6 0.3%
14-4 9.3% 29.1% 29.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.0 6.6 0.0%
13-5 11.4% 24.6% 24.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.8 0.1 8.6 0.0%
12-6 11.3% 19.8% 19.8% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.3 9.1
11-7 11.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 9.5
10-8 9.9% 9.5% 9.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 9.0
9-9 9.3% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.7
8-10 7.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.7
7-11 5.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 5.4
6-12 3.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.9% 18.5% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.1 4.9 4.0 2.4 81.1 0.5%