IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.5	#138
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.7	#319
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#185

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.9	#114

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	4.3%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.4%	2.9%	0.7%
Average Seed	10.9	10.8	11.7

.500 or above	48.1%	54.5%	27.4%
.500 or above in Conference	36.0%	39.5%	24.8%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.1%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.6%	9.7%	17.7%

First Four	1.0%	1.2%	0.4%
First Round	3.1%	3.6%	1.3%
Second Round	1.1%	1.3%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 4	6 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 2	12 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	208	UC Riverside	W	65-57	76%
Nov 27, 2020	150	Fresno St.	W	66-62	64%
Nov 30, 2020	104	@ Nevada	L	69-75	29%
Dec 02, 2020	209	Montana St.	W	71-63	76%
Dec 06, 2020	282	@ San Jose St.	W	76-71	69%
Dec 12, 2020	204	UC Davis	W	71-64	74%
Dec 16, 2020	308	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	76-69	74%
Dec 19, 2020	298	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	70-64	71%
Jan 02, 2021	263	Portland	W	73-63	82%
Jan 07, 2021	54	@ BYU	L	65-76	16%
Jan 09, 2021	159	San Diego	W	71-66	65%
Jan 14, 2021	125	Santa Clara	W	72-70	57%
Jan 16, 2021	154	Loyola Marymount	W	65-61	63%
Jan 21, 2021	108	@ Pepperdine	L	70-76	31%
Jan 23, 2021	1	@ Gonzaga	L	63-84	4%
Jan 28, 2021	125	@ Santa Clara	L	69-73	37%
Jan 30, 2021	74	St. Mary's	L	63-66	39%
Feb 04, 2021	91	San Francisco	L	68-69	45%
Feb 06, 2021	159	@ San Diego	L	68-69	45%
Feb 13, 2021	154	@ Loyola Marymount	L	62-64	44%
Feb 18, 2021	54	BYU	L	68-73	33%
Feb 20, 2021	263	@ Portland	W	70-66	64%
Feb 25, 2021	1	Gonzaga	L	66-81	11%
Feb 27, 2021	74	@ St. Mary's	L	60-69	22%
Projected Record						12 - 12	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd										0.1	0.9	2.0	1.5	0.8	0.1				5.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	2.0	3.3	1.9	0.4	0.0					7.9	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	3.0	4.6	2.5	0.2	0.0						10.8	4th
5th							0.4	3.9	5.8	2.5	0.2	0.0							12.8	5th
6th					0.0	0.3	4.1	6.7	2.7	0.2									14.0	6th
7th					0.6	4.5	6.8	2.6	0.2										14.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.8	4.2	6.7	2.5	0.3	0.0										14.5	8th
9th		0.1	1.3	3.9	5.3	1.6	0.1												12.4	9th
10th	0.4	1.6	2.5	1.8	0.6	0.0													6.8	10th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.9	6.5	10.6	13.1	14.0	13.8	12.1	9.3	6.9	4.1	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
14-2	81.6%	0.3		0.2	0.1
13-3	26.9%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0
12-4	11.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1
11-5	1.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%							0.0				0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.1%		96.1%	19.6%	76.5%	5.5				0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		95.1%
14-2	0.3%		85.8%	22.9%	62.9%	8.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		81.6%
13-3	1.2%		65.0%	12.4%	52.6%	9.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		60.0%
12-4	2.1%		40.4%	9.3%	31.1%	10.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.3		34.3%
11-5	4.1%		16.7%	4.3%	12.4%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			3.4		12.9%
10-6	6.9%		6.6%	3.4%	3.2%	12.0											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.4		3.3%
9-7	9.3%		2.7%	2.1%	0.6%	12.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			9.1		0.6%
8-8	12.1%		1.6%	1.5%	0.1%	13.2													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.9		0.1%
7-9	13.8%		0.4%	0.4%	0.0%	13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.8		0.0%
6-10	14.0%		0.2%	0.2%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.9
5-11	13.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
4-12	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
3-13	6.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
2-14	3.9%																							3.9
1-15	1.7%																							1.7
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.7%	1.3%	2.3%	10.9		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.1	96.3		2.4%