Bucknell
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#282
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#312
Pace76.0#45
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#310
First Shot-1.9#229
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#331
Layup/Dunks+0.9#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#268
Freethrows+2.1#60
Improvement+0.7#109

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#221
First Shot+2.7#87
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#342
Layups/Dunks+5.2#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#103
Freethrows-3.1#319
Improvement-0.7#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.0% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 6.2% 11.9% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 8.5% 16.5% 2.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 11.7% 37.7%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round1.1% 1.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 44 - 35 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 176   @ Navy L 69-78 22%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -8.6 -8.1 -0.1
  Jan 03, 2021 176   Navy L 60-63 33%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -6.1 -15.4 +9.4
  Jan 09, 2021 181   Lafayette L 60-83 34%     0 - 3 0 - 3 -26.4 -21.6 -3.3
  Jan 10, 2021 181   @ Lafayette L 76-87 23%     0 - 4 0 - 4 -10.9 -0.8 -10.0
  Jan 16, 2021 301   Lehigh W 75-70 60%     1 - 4 1 - 4 -5.2 -6.3 +0.9
  Jan 17, 2021 301   @ Lehigh L 72-73 43%    
  Jan 23, 2021 75   @ Colgate L 67-84 5%    
  Jan 24, 2021 75   @ Colgate L 67-84 5%    
  Jan 30, 2021 301   @ Lehigh L 72-73 43%    
  Jan 31, 2021 301   Lehigh W 74-71 64%    
  Feb 06, 2021 251   @ Loyola Maryland L 75-79 33%    
  Feb 08, 2021 251   Loyola Maryland L 77-78 54%    
  Feb 13, 2021 219   American L 73-75 48%    
  Feb 14, 2021 219   @ American L 71-76 28%    
  Feb 20, 2021 181   @ Lafayette L 70-78 22%    
  Feb 21, 2021 181   Lafayette L 72-76 40%    
Projected Record 5 - 11 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.5 4.2 6.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 4.6 7.8 3.0 0.2 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 3.3 9.3 3.5 0.4 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 9.9 4.9 0.4 0.0 18.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.9 7.6 5.3 0.4 15.3 9th
10th 2.3 5.8 4.9 0.8 0.0 13.8 10th
Total 2.4 7.8 15.3 19.4 19.7 16.1 10.9 5.5 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
11-5 6.3% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 0.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-7 2.3% 6.7% 6.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
8-8 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.2
7-9 10.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.2 10.6
6-10 16.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.8
5-11 19.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 19.5
4-12 19.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.3
3-13 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
2-14 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
1-15 2.4% 2.4
0-16
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%