Fordham
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#276
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#256
Pace60.4#342
Improvement+1.6#78

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#333
First Shot-9.8#343
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#114
Layup/Dunks-2.3#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#190
Freethrows-0.8#220
Improvement+0.5#120

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#131
First Shot+3.6#69
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#294
Layups/Dunks+1.3#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#291
Freethrows+3.6#14
Improvement+1.0#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 59.7% 37.6% 66.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 52 - 13
Quad 41 - 34 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 30, 2020 201   George Washington L 47-71 41%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -28.7 -25.9 -4.9
  Jan 02, 2021 190   @ La Salle L 52-89 27%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -37.6 -18.9 -18.8
  Jan 05, 2021 81   Dayton W 55-54 13%     1 - 2 1 - 2 +6.2 -5.3 +11.6
  Jan 09, 2021 135   @ Duquesne L 45-48 16%     1 - 3 1 - 3 +0.8 -17.3 +17.6
  Jan 13, 2021 62   St. Bonaventure L 54-68 10%     1 - 4 1 - 4 -7.0 -6.3 -3.0
  Jan 17, 2021 113   Massachusetts L 62-71 22%    
  Jan 20, 2021 68   @ Davidson L 52-69 4%    
  Jan 27, 2021 135   Duquesne L 55-62 28%    
  Jan 30, 2021 201   @ George Washington L 62-68 25%    
  Feb 03, 2021 113   @ Massachusetts L 60-73 10%    
  Feb 06, 2021 68   Davidson L 53-67 13%    
  Feb 10, 2021 149   @ George Mason L 53-63 16%    
  Feb 13, 2021 30   Saint Louis L 53-71 7%    
  Feb 15, 2021 70   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 52-69 5%    
  Feb 20, 2021 63   @ Rhode Island L 53-70 5%    
  Feb 23, 2021 51   @ Richmond L 54-73 3%    
  Feb 27, 2021 197   Saint Joseph's L 65-68 45%    
  Mar 03, 2021 190   La Salle L 58-61 44%    
Projected Record 3 - 15 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 1.0 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 2.4 0.4 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 5.1 1.2 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.8 8.2 3.7 0.2 13.9 12th
13th 0.3 4.4 13.1 8.3 0.8 0.0 26.8 13th
14th 11.3 18.8 10.5 1.2 0.0 41.7 14th
Total 11.6 23.1 25.5 19.6 11.4 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 0.8% 0.8
7-11 2.4% 2.4
6-12 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 19.6% 19.6
3-15 25.5% 25.5
2-16 23.1% 23.1
1-17 11.6% 11.6
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.7%