Howard
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#329
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#311
Pace72.8#100
Improvement+0.7#130

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#219
First Shot+1.7#130
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#333
Layup/Dunks-2.4#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#67
Freethrows+1.9#65
Improvement-0.8#227

Defense
Total Defense-10.5#344
First Shot-6.0#325
After Offensive Rebounds-4.6#346
Layups/Dunks+2.8#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#334
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+1.4#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 21.3% 39.1% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 18.5% 36.0% 9.7%
Conference Champion 4.0% 9.6% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.0% 2.2%
First Four3.5% 5.4% 2.6%
First Round2.1% 3.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 33.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 30 - 40 - 5
Quad 46 - 77 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 99   Belmont L 78-95 6%     0 - 1 -12.1 -2.0 -8.4
  Nov 28, 2020 156   George Mason L 70-84 11%     0 - 2 -13.4 +1.3 -15.0
  Dec 06, 2020 216   Bellarmine L 63-84 26%     0 - 3 -26.8 -5.4 -22.8
  Dec 18, 2020 310   Hampton W 81-76 46%     1 - 3 -6.4 -8.3 +1.2
  Feb 02, 2021 229   NC Central L 72-78 34%    
  Feb 07, 2021 260   Morgan St. L 77-82 36%    
  Feb 08, 2021 260   Morgan St. L 77-82 37%    
  Feb 13, 2021 344   @ Delaware St. W 87-83 60%    
  Feb 14, 2021 344   @ Delaware St. W 87-83 59%    
  Feb 17, 2021 250   @ Norfolk St. L 71-80 19%    
  Feb 18, 2021 250   @ Norfolk St. L 71-80 18%    
  Feb 21, 2021 322   Coppin St. W 82-81 58%    
  Feb 22, 2021 322   Coppin St. W 82-81 57%    
  Feb 27, 2021 250   Norfolk St. L 73-78 36%    
  Feb 28, 2021 250   Norfolk St. L 73-78 37%    
  Mar 03, 2021 322   @ Coppin St. L 80-83 35%    
  Mar 04, 2021 322   @ Coppin St. L 80-83 36%    
Projected Record 6 - 11 5 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 3.3 1.0 0.2 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 4.1 1.5 0.1 8.2 3rd
4th 0.4 2.6 5.5 2.4 0.2 11.1 4th
5th 0.8 5.2 7.9 3.1 0.1 17.1 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 7.1 9.1 2.9 0.0 21.3 6th
7th 0.3 3.7 7.8 6.5 1.2 19.5 7th
8th 0.7 3.2 3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.5 4.7 7.8 12.1 14.7 15.9 13.6 11.2 8.3 5.4 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-4 100.0% 0.4    0.4
11-5 85.1% 1.2    1.0 0.2
10-6 62.0% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3
9-7 8.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
8-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 0.1 0.0
12-4 0.4% 25.7% 25.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.4% 28.8% 28.8% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.0
10-6 3.0% 19.1% 19.1% 15.9 0.0 0.5 2.4
9-7 5.4% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.9 4.5
8-8 8.3% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.5 7.8
7-9 11.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 10.6
6-10 13.6% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 13.1
5-11 15.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 15.4
4-12 14.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.5
3-13 12.1% 12.1
2-14 7.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.8
1-15 4.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
0-16 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.1 4.2 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%