Hampton
Big South
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#309
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#262
Pace75.4#48
Improvement+1.8#72

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#302
First Shot-1.9#223
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#322
Layup/Dunks-4.0#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#193
Freethrows-0.8#225
Improvement+2.8#31

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#297
First Shot-2.3#244
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#307
Layups/Dunks-2.7#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
Freethrows-1.0#244
Improvement-1.0#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 4.6% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 23.3% 55.6% 21.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 80.3% 47.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% 4.3% 1.6%
First Round0.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 410 - 711 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 01, 2020 207   @ George Washington W 82-78 21%     1 - 0 +2.7 -6.7 +8.8
  Dec 07, 2020 248   @ Norfolk St. L 64-76 28%     1 - 1 -15.7 -8.6 -7.4
  Dec 13, 2020 212   @ VMI L 64-79 22%     1 - 2 -16.6 -16.5 +0.6
  Dec 16, 2020 258   William & Mary L 58-75 43%     1 - 3 -24.9 -20.8 -3.5
  Dec 18, 2020 329   @ Howard L 76-81 54%     1 - 4 -15.7 -16.9 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2020 335   @ Charleston Southern W 67-55 58%     2 - 4 1 - 0 +0.2 -9.6 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2020 335   @ Charleston Southern W 70-68 58%     3 - 4 2 - 0 -9.8 -6.6 -3.2
  Dec 30, 2020 200   Gardner-Webb W 80-69 31%     4 - 4 3 - 0 +6.4 -2.3 +7.9
  Dec 31, 2020 200   Gardner-Webb L 69-80 31%     4 - 5 3 - 1 -15.6 -5.7 -10.2
  Jan 04, 2021 224   @ Radford L 66-79 24%     4 - 6 3 - 2 -15.3 -6.7 -8.7
  Jan 05, 2021 224   @ Radford L 65-76 24%     4 - 7 3 - 3 -13.3 -3.3 -10.8
  Jan 09, 2021 239   UNC Asheville W 73-71 38%     5 - 7 4 - 3 -4.6 -10.6 +5.9
  Jan 10, 2021 239   UNC Asheville L 77-85 38%     5 - 8 4 - 4 -14.6 -5.5 -8.7
  Jan 14, 2021 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-68 47%     6 - 8 5 - 4 -7.8 -9.9 +2.1
  Jan 15, 2021 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 84-74 47%     7 - 8 6 - 4 +1.2 +3.5 -2.6
  Jan 24, 2021 112   @ Winthrop L 73-89 5%    
  Jan 25, 2021 112   @ Winthrop L 73-89 6%    
  Jan 29, 2021 305   High Point W 71-70 59%    
  Jan 30, 2021 305   High Point W 71-70 59%    
  Feb 04, 2021 283   @ Longwood L 67-71 32%    
  Feb 05, 2021 283   @ Longwood L 67-71 32%    
  Feb 11, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 72-66 76%    
  Feb 12, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 72-66 76%    
Projected Record 10 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 10.6 10.0 3.1 0.3 27.1 3rd
4th 0.0 4.4 20.3 17.6 4.7 0.4 47.5 4th
5th 0.6 7.1 4.0 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 4.5 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 0.8 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.6 0.7 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.2 5.6 16.8 27.5 28.3 15.5 4.5 0.6 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.3 4.3
11-9 15.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 15.0
10-10 28.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.5 27.8
9-11 27.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 27.1
8-12 16.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.7
7-13 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.6
6-14 1.2% 1.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%