Lamar
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#306
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#297
Pace73.4#85
Improvement+0.0#186

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#323
First Shot-6.3#314
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#223
Layup/Dunks-1.9#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.9#345
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement+2.2#41

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#229
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#212
Layups/Dunks-1.8#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#282
Freethrows+2.9#28
Improvement-2.2#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 2.2% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 42.4% 15.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 2.4% 10.9%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 70.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 88 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 9   @ Houston L 45-89 1%     0 - 1 -25.4 -18.4 -5.7
  Nov 27, 2020 184   @ Tulane L 57-66 20%     0 - 2 -9.2 -15.1 +6.2
  Nov 28, 2020 208   Lipscomb L 73-76 28%     0 - 3 -6.2 -8.3 +2.3
  Dec 05, 2020 246   @ Air Force L 44-59 29%     0 - 4 -18.5 -25.7 +5.2
  Dec 09, 2020 298   @ Louisiana Monroe W 63-60 40%     1 - 4 -3.6 -13.3 +9.6
  Dec 15, 2020 214   Southern Miss L 63-66 35%     1 - 5 -8.3 -8.2 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2020 106   @ Louisiana Tech L 57-86 8%     1 - 6 -22.8 -14.6 -6.2
  Dec 22, 2020 213   @ Texas San Antonio L 66-88 24%     1 - 7 -23.8 -17.3 -4.6
  Dec 29, 2020 321   SE Louisiana W 74-64 65%     2 - 7 1 - 0 -3.1 -6.3 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2021 119   @ Abilene Christian L 65-83 9%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -12.5 -4.7 -6.8
  Jan 06, 2021 192   @ Nicholls St. L 69-76 21%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -7.6 -2.0 -5.9
  Jan 09, 2021 330   Houston Baptist W 71-65 69%     3 - 9 2 - 2 -8.5 -12.9 +4.4
  Jan 13, 2021 183   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-96 19%     3 - 10 2 - 3 -25.1 -10.0 -12.4
  Jan 20, 2021 323   Incarnate Word W 71-67 70%    
  Jan 23, 2021 160   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-78 12%    
  Jan 30, 2021 340   McNeese St. W 78-71 78%    
  Feb 06, 2021 119   Abilene Christian L 60-71 18%    
  Feb 10, 2021 192   Nicholls St. L 69-74 37%    
  Feb 13, 2021 330   @ Houston Baptist W 79-77 51%    
  Feb 17, 2021 183   Sam Houston St. L 71-77 34%    
  Feb 20, 2021 312   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-67 42%    
  Feb 24, 2021 323   @ Incarnate Word W 69-68 49%    
  Feb 27, 2021 160   Stephen F. Austin L 69-77 28%    
  Mar 06, 2021 340   @ McNeese St. W 76-72 59%    
Projected Record 8 - 16 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.8 1.7 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.5 5.7 8.2 2.3 0.1 16.8 6th
7th 0.1 3.6 9.1 3.1 0.2 16.1 7th
8th 1.0 8.1 4.6 0.4 0.0 14.1 8th
9th 0.1 4.4 6.2 0.7 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 6.2 1.7 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.4 2.5 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.2 0.4 3.7 12th
13th 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 13th
Total 0.5 2.3 7.2 14.5 20.2 21.1 17.1 10.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 16.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.4% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-5 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
10-6 4.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 4.6
9-7 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.4
8-8 17.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 17.0
7-9 21.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 21.0
6-10 20.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.2
5-11 14.5% 14.5
4-12 7.2% 7.2
3-13 2.3% 2.3
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%