Tulane
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#182
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Pace67.4#241
Improvement+0.9#110

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#261
First Shot-2.6#247
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#219
Layup/Dunks-4.8#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#122
Freethrows+1.1#114
Improvement+0.0#174

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#132
First Shot+0.9#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#129
Layups/Dunks+3.8#63
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#333
Freethrows+0.9#132
Improvement+0.9#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 12.6 15.0
.500 or above 7.7% 24.1% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.7% 37.8% 65.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Home) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 54 - 14
Quad 45 - 09 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 306   Lamar W 66-57 81%     1 - 0 -2.0 -11.9 +9.6
  Nov 29, 2020 209   Lipscomb W 68-66 62%     2 - 0 -3.0 -4.3 +1.4
  Dec 09, 2020 217   Southern Miss W 58-38 63%     3 - 0 +14.7 -13.0 +28.6
  Dec 12, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-56 93%     4 - 0 -7.7 -12.7 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2020 63   Memphis L 74-80 19%     4 - 1 0 - 1 +1.3 +3.8 -2.1
  Dec 19, 2020 303   Grambling St. W 77-65 80%     5 - 1 +1.1 +10.3 -7.9
  Dec 22, 2020 143   @ East Carolina L 58-68 31%     5 - 2 0 - 2 -6.7 -8.0 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2021 143   East Carolina W 60-56 44%     6 - 2 1 - 2 +3.7 -9.7 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2021 6   @ Houston L 50-71 3%     6 - 3 1 - 3 -1.5 -5.6 +1.3
  Jan 16, 2021 129   Temple L 57-65 40%     6 - 4 1 - 4 -7.2 -12.7 +5.4
  Jan 27, 2021 6   Houston L 54-72 6%    
  Jan 31, 2021 129   @ Temple L 63-69 24%    
  Feb 03, 2021 65   @ Wichita St. L 62-74 11%    
  Feb 07, 2021 85   Cincinnati L 65-72 31%    
  Feb 10, 2021 87   Tulsa L 59-66 31%    
  Feb 13, 2021 98   @ South Florida L 58-67 19%    
  Feb 17, 2021 61   @ SMU L 64-77 9%    
  Feb 20, 2021 91   Central Florida L 62-68 33%    
  Feb 24, 2021 63   @ Memphis L 60-73 10%    
  Feb 26, 2021 85   @ Cincinnati L 63-73 15%    
  Mar 03, 2021 65   Wichita St. L 64-73 25%    
  Mar 06, 2021 98   South Florida L 60-65 37%    
Projected Record 9 - 13 4 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.4 3.5 9.8 10.9 4.4 0.4 0.0 29.4 10th
11th 9.0 17.0 13.7 5.2 0.6 0.0 45.5 11th
Total 9.3 20.5 24.1 20.4 13.7 7.2 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.1% 6.1% 6.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
9-11 0.4% 0.4
8-12 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 1.1
7-13 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-15 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 13.7
4-16 20.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.4
3-17 24.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.1
2-18 20.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.5
1-19 9.3% 9.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.2%