IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.4	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#178
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.0	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.5	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	4.1%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	4.6%	25.4%	3.8%
.500 or above in Conference	25.4%	56.2%	24.3%
Conference Champion	1.0%	3.8%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	13.6%	2.5%	14.0%

First Four	0.9%	3.5%	0.8%
First Round	0.4%	2.2%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 13	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	177	@ South Florida	L	59-78	4%
Nov 12, 2021	267	@ Middle Tennessee	L	65-79	11%
Nov 15, 2021	88	@ Utah	L	58-84	1%
Nov 20, 2021	206	Bryant	L	73-87	11%
Nov 23, 2021	110	Liberty	L	55-76	4%
Nov 28, 2021	41	@ Seton Hall	L	54-85	1%
Dec 05, 2021	68	@ Central Florida	L	55-83	1%
Dec 09, 2021	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	56-85	1%
Dec 19, 2021	273	@ Florida International	L	67-80	14%
Dec 22, 2021	246	@ Marist	L	59-74	12%
Jan 03, 2022	304	Florida A&M	L	66-72	33%
Jan 08, 2022	312	Grambling St.	L	69-74	35%
Jan 10, 2022	317	Southern	L	70-75	36%
Jan 15, 2022	358	@ Mississippi Valley	W	78-73	65%
Jan 17, 2022	355	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	69-68	53%
Jan 22, 2022	262	Jackson St.	L	64-72	26%
Jan 24, 2022	347	Alcorn St.	W	73-72	54%
Jan 29, 2022	351	Alabama St.	W	71-70	50%
Jan 31, 2022	340	@ Alabama A&M	L	63-70	29%
Feb 05, 2022	232	Prairie View	L	65-75	23%
Feb 07, 2022	211	Texas Southern	L	69-80	19%
Feb 12, 2022	347	@ Alcorn St.	L	70-75	35%
Feb 14, 2022	262	@ Jackson St.	L	61-75	14%
Feb 19, 2022	340	Alabama A&M	L	66-67	48%
Feb 21, 2022	351	Alabama St.	W	72-69	59%
Feb 26, 2022	317	@ Southern	L	67-78	20%
Feb 28, 2022	312	@ Grambling St.	L	66-77	19%
Mar 05, 2022	304	@ Florida A&M	L	63-75	18%
Projected Record						7 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			1.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.6	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0				3.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.9	1.9	1.2	0.3	0.0						4.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.3	2.8	1.6	0.3	0.0							6.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	1.8	3.4	2.1	0.3	0.0								8.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	2.7	4.5	2.5	0.4	0.0									10.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.3	5.0	2.6	0.4	0.0										12.0	8th
9th				0.1	1.3	4.6	5.6	2.5	0.4	0.0											14.5	9th
10th			0.3	2.5	5.6	5.2	2.0	0.3	0.0												15.9	10th
11th		0.9	3.6	5.2	3.6	1.2	0.1	0.0													14.6	11th
12th	1.3	2.7	2.5	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0														8.0	12th

Total	1.3	3.5	6.4	9.0	10.8	11.7	11.6	10.8	9.5	7.8	6.3	4.4	3.1	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	97.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	80.9%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	50.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	25.2%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		32.3%	32.3%		15.1														0.0			0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		45.2%	45.2%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		21.2%	21.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.6%		16.5%	16.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.5
14-4	1.1%		11.9%	11.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.9
13-5	1.9%		8.0%	8.0%		16.0																0.0	0.2	1.8
12-6	3.1%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																	0.1	3.0
11-7	4.4%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.1	4.2
10-8	6.3%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
9-9	7.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
8-10	9.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.4
7-11	10.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-12	11.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
5-13	11.7%																							11.7
4-14	10.8%																							10.8
3-15	9.0%																							9.0
2-16	6.4%																							6.4
1-17	3.5%																							3.5
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.2%