IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-21.9	#357
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.9	#92
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.1	#355

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-10.8	#355

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	n/a

.500 or above	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	86.7%	82.2%	91.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 9	0 - 15
Quad 4	2 - 13	3 - 28

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	353	St. Thomas	W	75-74	51%
Nov 12, 2021	328	SIU Edwardsville	L	68-77	22%
Nov 16, 2021	46	@ Loyola Chicago	L	49-84	0.1%
Nov 20, 2021	97	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	57-87	0.4%
Nov 22, 2021	137	@ Pacific	L	58-85	1%
Nov 28, 2021	150	@ Bowling Green	L	65-91	1%
Dec 01, 2021	276	@ Loyola Maryland	L	63-82	6%
Dec 04, 2021	289	Tennessee St.	L	71-83	17%
Dec 11, 2021	223	Illinois St.	L	66-82	10%
Dec 13, 2021	314	Northern Illinois	L	65-75	20%
Dec 16, 2021	333	@ IUPUI	L	71-85	14%
Dec 19, 2021	73	@ Drake	L	56-89	1%
Dec 21, 2021	127	@ Iowa St.	L	61-89	1%
Dec 30, 2021	142	@ Grand Canyon	L	57-84	2%
Jan 01, 2022	102	@ New Mexico St.	L	54-84	1%
Jan 06, 2022	179	Seattle	L	66-84	7%
Jan 08, 2022	215	California Baptist	L	71-87	10%
Jan 13, 2022	310	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	66-83	9%
Jan 15, 2022	308	@ Lamar	L	65-82	9%
Jan 27, 2022	209	Utah Valley	L	67-84	9%
Jan 29, 2022	303	Dixie St.	L	74-85	19%
Feb 02, 2022	167	@ Abilene Christian	L	60-85	2%
Feb 05, 2022	185	@ Tarleton St.	L	57-81	3%
Feb 10, 2022	153	Stephen F. Austin	L	65-85	6%
Feb 12, 2022	196	Sam Houston St.	L	69-86	9%
Feb 16, 2022	153	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	62-88	2%
Feb 19, 2022	185	Tarleton St.	L	60-78	8%
Feb 23, 2022	142	Grand Canyon	L	60-81	5%
Feb 26, 2022	102	New Mexico St.	L	57-81	3%
Mar 02, 2022	215	@ California Baptist	L	68-90	4%
Mar 05, 2022	179	@ Seattle	L	63-87	3%
Projected Record						3 - 28	1 - 17

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st																0.0					0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0								0.0	2nd
3rd													0.0								0.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.0	0.0										0.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0										0.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0											0.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0												1.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.7	1.5	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0													4.5	11th
12th		4.6	6.2	3.8	1.3	0.2	0.0														16.2	12th
13th	42.9	23.6	8.2	1.8	0.2	0.0															76.8	13th

Total	42.9	28.3	15.2	7.2	3.6	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0						Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	100.0%	0.0			0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6	0.0%																							0.0
11-7	0.0%																							0.0
10-8	0.0%																							0.0
9-9	0.1%																							0.1
8-10	0.2%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
7-11	0.3%																							0.3
6-12	0.7%																							0.7
5-13	1.6%																							1.6
4-14	3.6%																							3.6
3-15	7.2%																							7.2
2-16	15.2%																							15.2
1-17	28.3%																							28.3
0-18	42.9%																							42.9

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	16.5%