Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#180
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace84.0#2
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#156
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#218
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.2% 20.6% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.7 14.7
.500 or above 64.1% 80.7% 50.8%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 86.7% 69.9%
Conference Champion 15.4% 22.1% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.8% 2.9%
First Four1.7% 1.4% 1.9%
First Round14.4% 20.0% 10.0%
Second Round1.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 412 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 205   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 82-84 44%    
  Nov 16, 2021 172   James Madison W 87-85 59%    
  Nov 20, 2021 244   Albany W 83-76 73%    
  Nov 22, 2021 330   Eastern Illinois W 88-75 88%    
  Nov 26, 2021 32   @ West Virginia L 74-90 9%    
  Nov 28, 2021 264   @ Radford W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 100   @ Western Kentucky L 75-84 23%    
  Dec 07, 2021 20   @ USC L 69-86 8%    
  Dec 11, 2021 118   Marshall L 86-87 46%    
  Dec 18, 2021 166   Northern Kentucky W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 22, 2021 206   @ Bryant L 90-91 45%    
  Jan 04, 2022 334   Central Arkansas W 92-78 87%    
  Jan 08, 2022 165   @ Bellarmine L 76-80 38%    
  Jan 11, 2022 318   @ North Alabama W 84-79 67%    
  Jan 15, 2022 164   Jacksonville St. W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 18, 2022 226   Lipscomb W 81-75 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 280   North Florida W 86-77 76%    
  Jan 27, 2022 222   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 83-84 49%    
  Jan 29, 2022 251   @ Stetson W 80-79 54%    
  Feb 03, 2022 311   Kennesaw St. W 85-74 81%    
  Feb 05, 2022 110   Liberty L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 09, 2022 302   @ Jacksonville W 81-77 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 226   @ Lipscomb W 79-78 50%    
  Feb 16, 2022 318   North Alabama W 87-76 81%    
  Feb 19, 2022 334   @ Central Arkansas W 89-81 73%    
  Feb 23, 2022 164   @ Jacksonville St. L 75-79 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 165   Bellarmine W 79-77 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 5.0 3.4 1.2 15.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.7 4.5 1.5 0.1 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.9 3.5 0.7 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.5 2.5 0.3 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.0 5.9 8.0 9.8 11.5 12.4 12.2 11.2 9.1 6.5 3.6 1.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.2    1.2
15-1 96.6% 3.4    2.9 0.5
14-2 77.3% 5.0    3.2 1.7 0.1
13-3 43.2% 3.9    1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0
12-4 14.2% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 9.2 4.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.2% 62.9% 57.1% 5.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 13.6%
15-1 3.6% 51.2% 48.9% 2.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 4.4%
14-2 6.5% 39.2% 38.8% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.9 0.7%
13-3 9.1% 30.1% 29.9% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 6.3 0.2%
12-4 11.2% 22.1% 22.1% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 8.7 0.0%
11-5 12.2% 15.5% 15.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 10.3
10-6 12.4% 10.7% 10.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 11.1
9-7 11.5% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.7
8-8 9.8% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.4
7-9 8.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.7
6-10 5.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.8
5-11 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-12 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 1.3% 1.3
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.2% 15.0% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.8 3.8 3.7 3.1 84.8 0.2%