IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.6	#329
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.0	#75
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.3	#304

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#337

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	3.8%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	19.6%	41.2%	14.2%
.500 or above in Conference	28.0%	45.4%	23.6%
Conference Champion	1.7%	3.9%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	20.1%	9.7%	22.8%

First Four	0.9%	1.6%	0.8%
First Round	1.2%	3.0%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 11	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 16, 2021	239	@ Towson	L	69-78	20%
Nov 19, 2021	139	@ Wofford	L	65-80	8%
Nov 20, 2021	245	Georgia Southern	L	69-75	30%
Nov 24, 2021	177	@ South Florida	L	66-79	13%
Nov 28, 2021	291	Norfolk St.	L	71-75	38%
Nov 29, 2021	256	Morgan St.	L	78-83	33%
Dec 04, 2021	291	Norfolk St.	L	73-74	48%
Dec 09, 2021	295	@ William & Mary	L	72-78	30%
Dec 12, 2021	276	@ Loyola Maryland	L	71-78	27%
Dec 18, 2021	339	NC Central	W	73-71	56%
Dec 22, 2021	218	VMI	L	77-82	35%
Dec 30, 2021	332	Howard	W	85-81	61%
Jan 05, 2022	249	Longwood	L	69-72	42%
Jan 08, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	69-79	21%
Jan 12, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	L	75-82	29%
Jan 15, 2022	319	Presbyterian	W	72-71	54%
Jan 19, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	66-74	27%
Jan 22, 2022	299	High Point	L	72-73	50%
Jan 26, 2022	200	@ Campbell	L	65-77	18%
Jan 29, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	L	75-77	43%
Feb 02, 2022	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	78-73	66%
Feb 05, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	77-86	23%
Feb 09, 2022	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	74-82	25%
Feb 12, 2022	264	Radford	L	69-71	44%
Feb 16, 2022	286	N.C. A&T	L	78-79	48%
Feb 19, 2022	249	@ Longwood	L	66-75	25%
Feb 23, 2022	200	Campbell	L	68-74	33%
Feb 26, 2022	299	@ High Point	L	70-76	31%
Projected Record						10 - 18	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0			2.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.4	1.5	1.6	0.6	0.1					4.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.1	2.1	0.6	0.1						5.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.4	2.9	0.9	0.0							6.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.3	3.9	1.3	0.1								7.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	2.1	4.7	2.1	0.1									9.2	7th
8th					0.2	2.0	5.1	2.9	0.3	0.0									10.4	8th
9th				0.2	2.0	5.4	3.8	0.6	0.0										12.0	9th
10th			0.2	2.4	5.5	4.1	0.8	0.0											13.1	10th
11th		0.8	3.4	5.6	3.8	0.8	0.0												14.4	11th
12th	1.7	3.9	4.2	2.2	0.5	0.0													12.6	12th

Total	1.7	4.7	7.8	10.4	11.9	12.5	12.2	10.7	9.1	6.8	4.9	3.3	2.0	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	99.1%	0.2		0.2	0.1
14-2	83.0%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
13-3	50.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-4	18.7%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	3.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		48.0%	48.0%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.2%		36.3%	36.3%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-2	0.5%		22.5%	22.5%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
13-3	1.1%		18.0%	18.0%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.9
12-4	2.0%		11.8%	11.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.8
11-5	3.3%		9.9%	9.9%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	3.0
10-6	4.9%		6.0%	6.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	4.6
9-7	6.8%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	6.6
8-8	9.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.9
7-9	10.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
6-10	12.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
5-11	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
4-12	11.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
3-13	10.4%																							10.4
2-14	7.8%																							7.8
1-15	4.7%																							4.7
0-16	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		1.8%	1.8%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	98.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%