Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#308
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#180
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#285
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 10.6% 30.1% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 21.4% 40.5% 18.5%
Conference Champion 0.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 2.0% 7.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 79 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 152   @ Miami (OH) L 64-76 13%    
  Nov 15, 2021 60   @ Georgia Tech L 60-80 4%    
  Nov 19, 2021 251   Stetson L 71-72 49%    
  Nov 21, 2021 195   @ Southern Miss L 64-74 20%    
  Nov 24, 2021 207   @ Texas San Antonio L 72-81 22%    
  Nov 27, 2021 21   @ Texas Tech L 55-80 2%    
  Dec 02, 2021 56   @ Mississippi St. L 59-79 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 224   @ Texas Arlington L 67-75 26%    
  Dec 15, 2021 174   @ Texas St. L 58-69 18%    
  Dec 18, 2021 342   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-71 55%    
  Dec 20, 2021 269   Louisiana Monroe W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 30, 2021 196   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-80 22%    
  Jan 01, 2022 153   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-79 17%    
  Jan 06, 2022 102   New Mexico St. L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 08, 2022 142   Grand Canyon L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 13, 2022 196   Sam Houston St. L 73-77 39%    
  Jan 15, 2022 357   Chicago St. W 82-65 91%    
  Jan 20, 2022 303   @ Dixie St. L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 209   @ Utah Valley L 69-78 24%    
  Jan 26, 2022 185   Tarleton St. L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 167   Abilene Christian L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 10, 2022 215   @ California Baptist L 72-81 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 179   @ Seattle L 67-78 19%    
  Feb 19, 2022 153   Stephen F. Austin L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 24, 2022 167   @ Abilene Christian L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 185   @ Tarleton St. L 62-72 21%    
  Mar 02, 2022 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 05, 2022 215   California Baptist L 75-78 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.8 2.0 0.2 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 15.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.8 6.2 5.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 18.4 11th
12th 2.3 5.8 6.0 3.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 19.3 12th
13th 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 13th
Total 0.8 3.7 7.6 10.4 12.4 12.3 11.8 10.6 9.0 7.0 5.2 3.7 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 89.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 53.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 59.4% 59.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 29.2% 29.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 33.5% 32.1% 1.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9%
15-3 0.4% 20.6% 20.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 17.7% 17.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 2.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.6
10-8 5.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.1
9-9 7.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.9
8-10 9.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.0
7-11 10.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 11.8% 11.8
5-13 12.3% 12.3
4-14 12.4% 12.4
3-15 10.4% 10.4
2-16 7.6% 7.6
1-17 3.7% 3.7
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%