IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.8	#286
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.2	#45
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#301

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.5	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	10.3%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	27.1%	57.1%	22.0%
.500 or above in Conference	53.4%	74.8%	49.7%
Conference Champion	5.3%	11.6%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.1%	2.0%	7.9%

First Four	2.1%	2.3%	2.0%
First Round	4.1%	9.2%	3.2%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 6	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	149	@ UNC Greensboro	L	68-79	15%
Nov 13, 2021	302	@ Jacksonville	L	73-75	43%
Nov 15, 2021	177	@ South Florida	L	67-76	21%
Nov 20, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	66-81	11%
Nov 23, 2021	71	@ Stanford	L	65-83	7%
Nov 26, 2021	255	Samford	L	81-83	45%
Dec 07, 2021	183	@ East Carolina	L	69-78	23%
Dec 11, 2021	68	@ Central Florida	L	63-81	7%
Dec 14, 2021	141	@ East Tennessee St.	L	65-77	17%
Dec 18, 2021	332	Howard	W	84-80	64%
Jan 05, 2022	319	Presbyterian	W	73-68	66%
Jan 08, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	67-71	37%
Jan 12, 2022	329	Hampton	W	82-75	71%
Jan 15, 2022	299	@ High Point	L	71-73	43%
Jan 19, 2022	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	74-79	35%
Jan 22, 2022	200	Campbell	L	69-71	44%
Jan 26, 2022	249	@ Longwood	L	67-72	35%
Jan 29, 2022	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	79-70	77%
Feb 02, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	75-87	18%
Feb 05, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	70-76	31%
Feb 09, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	80-72	73%
Feb 12, 2022	249	Longwood	W	70-69	54%
Feb 16, 2022	329	@ Hampton	W	79-78	52%
Feb 19, 2022	200	@ Campbell	L	66-74	27%
Feb 23, 2022	299	High Point	W	74-70	61%
Feb 26, 2022	264	Radford	W	70-68	56%
Projected Record						10 - 16	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	1.0	1.7	1.5	0.7	0.2		5.3	1st
2nd										0.0	0.5	2.0	3.0	1.7	0.5	0.0			7.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	2.9	3.9	1.6	0.2	0.0				9.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	3.2	4.6	1.6	0.1						10.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.9	5.1	1.9	0.1							10.3	5th
6th							0.2	2.5	5.1	2.2	0.2	0.0							10.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.9	5.0	2.9	0.3	0.0								10.3	7th
8th					0.1	1.5	4.7	3.0	0.4	0.0									9.7	8th
9th				0.1	1.3	4.0	3.2	0.5	0.0										9.1	9th
10th			0.1	1.1	3.1	2.8	0.7	0.0											7.9	10th
11th		0.2	1.1	2.5	2.0	0.6	0.0												6.4	11th
12th	0.3	0.9	1.4	1.0	0.3	0.0													3.8	12th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.6	4.6	6.7	9.2	10.7	11.5	11.8	11.4	10.0	7.9	5.7	3.6	2.0	0.7	0.2			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	94.5%	0.7		0.6	0.1
14-2	75.5%	1.5		1.0	0.5	0.0
13-3	46.5%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-4	17.2%	1.0		0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1
11-5	3.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.3%	5.3		2.8	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		53.4%	51.5%	1.9%	13.0							0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		4.0%
15-1	0.7%		34.9%	34.9%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
14-2	2.0%		32.2%	32.2%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	1.3
13-3	3.6%		21.8%	21.8%		15.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	2.8
12-4	5.7%		15.6%	15.6%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	4.8
11-5	7.9%		10.5%	10.5%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	7.1
10-6	10.0%		6.3%	6.3%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.6	9.4
9-7	11.4%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.9
8-8	11.8%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.3	11.5
7-9	11.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
6-10	10.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
5-11	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
4-12	6.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
3-13	4.6%																							4.6
2-14	2.6%																							2.6
1-15	1.1%																							1.1
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		5.1%	5.1%	0.0%	15.4							0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	3.2	94.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%