Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#140
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#186
Pace81.8#6
Improvement+1.8#44

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#105
First Shot-0.8#199
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#31
Layup/Dunks-7.6#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#4
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement+1.2#59

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#181
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#334
Layups/Dunks-1.0#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#33
Freethrows-1.2#254
Improvement+0.5#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.6% 29.7% 23.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 90.3% 93.8% 82.6%
.500 or above in Conference 93.3% 94.8% 90.0%
Conference Champion 34.4% 37.1% 28.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Four1.3% 1.0% 2.0%
First Round27.1% 29.2% 22.4%
Second Round2.8% 3.2% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 7
Quad 414 - 319 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 244   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-71 63%     1 - 0 +4.7 +1.0 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2021 165   James Madison L 78-79 69%     1 - 1 -4.1 -5.9 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2021 286   Albany W 77-64 87%     2 - 1 +3.0 -1.3 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2021 341   Eastern Illinois W 82-43 94%     3 - 1 +23.3 -5.4 +24.5
  Nov 26, 2021 46   @ West Virginia L 77-80 16%     3 - 2 +9.7 +16.0 -6.5
  Nov 28, 2021 270   @ Radford W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 04, 2021 123   @ Western Kentucky L 77-81 37%    
  Dec 07, 2021 14   @ USC L 67-83 8%    
  Dec 11, 2021 116   Marshall W 90-88 57%    
  Dec 18, 2021 195   Northern Kentucky W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 22, 2021 229   @ Bryant W 88-86 58%    
  Jan 04, 2022 342   Central Arkansas W 91-73 95%    
  Jan 08, 2022 175   @ Bellarmine L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 11, 2022 321   @ North Alabama W 82-74 78%    
  Jan 15, 2022 150   Jacksonville St. W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 18, 2022 221   Lipscomb W 84-76 76%    
  Jan 22, 2022 277   North Florida W 85-74 85%    
  Jan 27, 2022 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 83-82 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 267   @ Stetson W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 03, 2022 310   Kennesaw St. W 83-70 88%    
  Feb 05, 2022 173   Liberty W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 09, 2022 261   @ Jacksonville W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 221   @ Lipscomb W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 16, 2022 321   North Alabama W 85-71 89%    
  Feb 19, 2022 342   @ Central Arkansas W 88-76 85%    
  Feb 23, 2022 150   @ Jacksonville St. L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 26, 2022 175   Bellarmine W 79-73 69%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 5.4 10.1 10.4 5.7 1.7 34.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.2 8.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.6 2.8 0.3 14.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.8 2.1 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.1 0.1 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.9 0.2 4.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 1.6 0.2 3.5 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.3 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.7 5.7 9.4 13.5 14.9 17.0 14.2 11.1 5.8 1.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.7    1.7
15-1 99.5% 5.7    5.5 0.2
14-2 93.4% 10.4    8.2 2.1 0.1
13-3 70.6% 10.1    5.6 3.8 0.7 0.0
12-4 32.0% 5.4    1.5 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 6.8% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 34.4% 34.4 22.6 8.9 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.7% 63.0% 62.4% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.5%
15-1 5.8% 52.7% 52.7% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.3 2.7
14-2 11.1% 45.7% 45.7% 13.9 0.3 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.1 6.0
13-3 14.2% 35.8% 35.8% 14.3 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.9 0.2 9.1
12-4 17.0% 28.9% 28.9% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 0.6 12.1
11-5 14.9% 24.0% 24.0% 15.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.9 11.4
10-6 13.5% 17.8% 17.8% 15.4 0.2 1.1 1.1 11.1
9-7 9.4% 15.5% 15.5% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9
8-8 5.7% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.2
7-9 3.7% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.4
6-10 1.8% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.1 1.7
5-11 0.8% 0.8
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 7.7 9.7 4.7 72.4 0.0%