West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#46
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#54
Pace68.2#215
Improvement-0.9#258

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#38
First Shot+3.3#82
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#53
Layup/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#264
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement+1.9#24

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#70
First Shot+4.4#55
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#214
Layups/Dunks-0.7#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#110
Freethrows+2.5#49
Improvement-2.8#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 6.8% 7.4% 1.9%
Top 6 Seed 16.8% 17.9% 7.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.9% 48.8% 30.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.5% 47.3% 29.6%
Average Seed 7.5 7.5 8.3
.500 or above 73.6% 76.0% 53.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 38.9% 26.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 10.0% 15.6%
First Four5.6% 5.7% 4.5%
First Round44.0% 45.8% 27.9%
Second Round24.5% 25.7% 13.9%
Sweet Sixteen9.3% 9.7% 5.3%
Elite Eight3.3% 3.5% 1.2%
Final Four1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 24 - 39 - 13
Quad 34 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 125   Oakland W 60-53 83%     1 - 0 +6.8 -11.7 +18.4
  Nov 12, 2021 213   Pittsburgh W 74-59 91%     2 - 0 +9.8 +1.0 +9.1
  Nov 18, 2021 265   Elon W 87-68 92%     3 - 0 +13.2 +5.6 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2021 69   Marquette L 71-82 60%     3 - 1 -3.8 +2.3 -6.1
  Nov 21, 2021 45   Clemson W 66-59 49%     4 - 1 +16.9 +4.1 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2021 140   Eastern Kentucky W 80-77 84%     5 - 1 +2.1 +12.0 -9.7
  Nov 30, 2021 175   Bellarmine W 76-63 90%    
  Dec 04, 2021 270   Radford W 75-56 96%    
  Dec 08, 2021 13   Connecticut L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 12, 2021 143   Kent St. W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 18, 2021 52   UAB W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 22, 2021 280   Youngstown St. W 81-62 96%    
  Jan 01, 2022 11   @ Texas L 62-71 20%    
  Jan 03, 2022 89   @ TCU W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 08, 2022 101   Kansas St. W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 11, 2022 34   Oklahoma St. W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 18, 2022 3   Baylor L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 22, 2022 17   @ Texas Tech L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 26, 2022 35   Oklahoma W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 31, 2022 3   @ Baylor L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 05, 2022 17   Texas Tech L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 08, 2022 61   Iowa St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 34   @ Oklahoma St. L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 14, 2022 101   @ Kansas St. W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 9   Kansas L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 23, 2022 61   @ Iowa St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 26, 2022 11   Texas L 65-68 39%    
  Mar 01, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma L 67-72 34%    
  Mar 05, 2022 89   TCU W 73-66 73%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 4.4 2.9 0.6 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.5 3.6 0.6 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 7.0 3.6 0.7 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.1 6.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.9 5.6 2.6 0.3 15.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.7 3.3 1.6 0.2 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 6.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.5 6.7 9.7 12.0 13.9 14.1 11.6 10.0 6.9 4.5 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 89.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 50.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.1
13-5 23.1% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 2.9 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.7% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 3.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.5% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 6.9% 98.5% 5.4% 93.1% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.5%
10-8 10.0% 96.8% 3.3% 93.5% 7.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 96.7%
9-9 11.6% 84.3% 2.5% 81.8% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 83.9%
8-10 14.1% 53.6% 1.2% 52.4% 9.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.6 53.0%
7-11 13.9% 22.6% 0.8% 21.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.1 10.8 22.0%
6-12 12.0% 6.3% 0.8% 5.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 11.2 5.5%
5-13 9.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.4%
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 46.9% 2.6% 44.3% 7.5 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.2 4.4 5.6 6.5 6.1 5.7 4.2 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 53.1 45.5%