Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#123
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Pace72.1#97
Improvement+0.4#131

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#130
First Shot+3.7#72
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#310
Layup/Dunks+3.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#192
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#108
First Shot+1.6#118
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#175
Layups/Dunks+3.7#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#295
Freethrows+0.5#159
Improvement+0.5#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 10.9% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 75.0% 82.8% 61.8%
.500 or above in Conference 82.8% 86.2% 77.0%
Conference Champion 14.4% 16.3% 11.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round9.5% 10.9% 7.2%
Second Round1.6% 1.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 62.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 36 - 57 - 11
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 334   Alabama St. W 79-74 94%     1 - 0 -9.3 -7.7 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2021 82   Minnesota L 69-73 37%     1 - 1 +2.4 +1.5 +0.9
  Nov 14, 2021 92   South Carolina L 64-75 39%     1 - 2 -5.3 -9.5 +5.3
  Nov 19, 2021 22   @ Memphis L 62-74 10%     1 - 3 +4.8 -7.2 +13.4
  Nov 24, 2021 344   Alabama A&M W 88-62 95%     2 - 3 +10.0 +5.7 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2021 345   Tennessee Martin W 81-66 95%     3 - 3 -1.3 -1.9 +0.5
  Dec 04, 2021 140   Eastern Kentucky W 81-77 63%    
  Dec 08, 2021 71   Buffalo L 80-81 45%    
  Dec 11, 2021 74   Mississippi L 65-69 35%    
  Dec 18, 2021 36   Louisville L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 22, 2021 259   @ Austin Peay W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 30, 2021 247   @ Southern Miss W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 01, 2022 112   @ Louisiana Tech L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 08, 2022 228   Florida International W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 13, 2022 169   Rice W 80-74 71%    
  Jan 15, 2022 115   North Texas W 65-63 58%    
  Jan 20, 2022 200   @ Florida Atlantic W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 228   @ Florida International W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 27, 2022 52   UAB L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 29, 2022 185   Middle Tennessee W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 03, 2022 198   @ Charlotte W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 233   @ Old Dominion W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 10, 2022 200   Florida Atlantic W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 13, 2022 296   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 17, 2022 198   Charlotte W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 19, 2022 233   Old Dominion W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 26, 2022 185   @ Middle Tennessee W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 02, 2022 116   @ Marshall L 79-83 38%    
  Mar 05, 2022 116   Marshall W 82-80 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 3.4 4.6 3.2 1.4 0.3 14.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 4.1 1.2 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.1 1.0 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.8 4.4 4.0 0.9 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 4.0 1.2 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.2 1.5 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.1 0.2 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.3 4.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.2 4.7 6.7 10.5 11.9 13.4 13.6 11.8 9.7 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.3% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 87.1% 3.2    2.4 0.8
15-3 70.4% 4.6    2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 35.2% 3.4    1.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 11.0% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.4% 14.4 8.2 4.6 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 51.6% 35.5% 16.1% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 25.0%
17-1 1.4% 30.2% 27.3% 2.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 4.0%
16-2 3.7% 30.7% 29.3% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.5 1.9%
15-3 6.5% 23.7% 23.5% 0.2% 12.8 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.0 0.2%
14-4 9.7% 15.1% 15.1% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 8.2
13-5 11.8% 14.9% 14.9% 13.6 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.0
12-6 13.6% 10.8% 10.8% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 12.1
11-7 13.4% 5.3% 5.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.7
10-8 11.9% 3.9% 3.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.4
9-9 10.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.2
8-10 6.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 6.6
7-11 4.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.6
6-12 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.6% 9.4% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.1 2.7 1.3 0.4 90.4 0.2%